According to the twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus report, the growth of industrial sector by the end of current fiscal year is estimated to remain at 6.1 per cent in Fiscal Year 2017 while in 2018 it would grow at 7.0 per cent.
Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM) growth (Year-o-Year) remained at 3.9 percent during the first half of FY2017, supported by growth in automobiles, construction, food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, and fertilizer.
The China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects have supported construction activity, which is expected to stimulate industrial sector growth in the second half of FY2017.
Similarly the report also predicted a significant growth of 3.4 per cent in agricultural sector in FY 17 while it would grow by 2.9 per cent in 2018 and 3.3 per cent in 2019.
“After a weak performance in FY2016, the agriculture sector picked up during the first half of FY2017 due to better cotton, sugarcane, and maize crops”, the report added.
Furthermore, the services sector of the country is also projected to grow at 5.6 per cent in FY 17, 5.8 per cent in FY 18 and 6.0 per cent in FY 19.
The exports of goods and services have also been projected to grow at 0.2 per cent in FY 17 as compared to the negative growth of 4.8 per cent last year.
The World Bank projected that this sector would continue to grow next year as well to 4.4 per cent and to 4.5 per cent in 2019.
Regarding the overall economic growth, the report added that with growth prospects continuing to improve and inflation remaining contained, Pakistan economy would continue to grow at 5.2 percent in 2017, the World Bank (WB) predicted in its recent report.
“In Pakistan, economic activity expanded by 4.7 percent in 2016 and is expected to continue to grow at 5.2 percent in 2017 with growth prospects continuing to improve and inflation remaining contained,” says the report.
The report, however suggested that efforts to reverse the current imbalances and continued implementation of structural reforms will be needed for sustaining and accelerating growth and improving welfare.
“Slower progress in much-needed structural reforms could weaken growth prospects”, it added.
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The 68th Anniversary of the Founding of the People’s Republic of China.
— The Daily Mail - People's Daily