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Americas at odds
Jiang Shixue

DURING his presidential campaign, Evo Morales said his election would be a “nightmare” for the United States. The Bolivian president honored his words. On September 10, Morales declared U.S. Ambassador Philip Goldberg “persona non grata” and asked him to leave the country after Goldberg met with a Bolivian governor whose province is seeking autonomy. The United States expelled Bolivian Ambassador Gustavo Guzman the next day in retaliation. Surprisingly, on the same day, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez ordered U.S. Ambassador Patrick Duddy to leave within 72 hours. He supports Morales and the Bolivian people in their struggle to maintain territorial integrity, Chavez said.
Double standards
The United States always applies double standards to Latin American governments. It protects pro-U.S. Latin American governments even if their leaders are autocratic and unpopular with the public. For example, Anastasio Somoza Debayle, who ruled Nicaragua for 20 years from 1936 to 1956, was a genuine dictator. Nevertheless, the United States maintained close relations with the Somoza regime in order to build an alliance against the Soviet Union and communism in Central America, turning a blind eye to its dictatorial rule. At the same time, the United States goes out of its way to topple hostile governments. After taking office in 1951, Guatemalan President Jacobo Arbenz Guzman initiated a land reform program, under which the government confiscated uncultivated land owned by the U.S.-based United Fruit Company. In June 1954, U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower authorized the Central Intelligence Agency to cooperate with Guatemala’s armed forces in a coup d’etat that overthrew the Arbenz regime.
Salvador Allende, who became Chilean president in 1970, harmed U.S. economic interests in Chile as he tried to restrict foreign capital. In an effort to overthrow the Allende regime, the United States provided economic assistance to Chile’s opposition and assisted General Augusto Pinochet in the military coup against Allende on September 11, 1973. In the late 1980s, de facto Panamanian leader Manuel Antonio Noriega refused to conduct negotiations with the United States to revise the new Panama Canal Treaty and exposed U.S. violations of the treaty. The United States invaded Panama on December 20, 1989, capturing Noriega and bringing him to court in the United States.
Morales, elected in December 2005, is the first indigenous president of Bolivia. The United States has demanded that Bolivia and other Andean countries prohibit the growth of coca, the raw material for cocaine. Morales, however, has called for legalizing coca production. He has also taken a series of measures to restrict foreign capital. As a result, the United States considers Morales a thorn in its side. Bolivia’s domestic turmoil presents a good opportunity for the United States to topple the Morales regime. Economic development between eastern and western parts of Bolivia is highly unbalanced. Morales has called on the Central Government to take control of regional treasuries and transfer resources from the relatively rich east to the west. In response, some eastern departments have held referendums on autonomy. Morales declared the referendums illegal, causing spiraling conflicts between the Central Government and the eastern departments seeking autonomy.
The United States secretly supports the separatist activities in east Bolivia. In early September, amid mounting anti-government protests, Goldberg met with Ruben Costas, Governor of the pro-autonomy Santa Cruz Department and a staunch Morales opponent. “[Goldberg] is conspiring against democracy and seeking the division of Bolivia,” Morales said when he announced the expulsion. The U.S. State Department called the allegations “baseless.” In a show of moral support, Chavez ordered the expulsion of the U.S. ambassador to Venezuela. This move was easy to understand. First of all, Chavez himself is a victim of Washington’s attempted subversion. In April 2002, he was ousted from the presidential palace for 48 hours during a coup, in which the United States appeared to at least be complicit, if not actively involved. Small wonder then that Chavez not only criticizes the United States in Venezuela, but also called U.S. President George W. Bush “the devil” on the UN floor. Chavez, Morales and former Cuban leader Fidel Castro are considered the three core figures in the “anti-U.S. axis” in the Western Hemisphere. Chavez and Morales are acknowledged worldwide as leftist leaders. The two men enjoy good personal relations and their countries have close ties as well.
Still the U.S. backyard
The emergence of the anti-U.S. axis in the Western Hemisphere has led some analysts to the conclusion that Latin America is no longer “America’s backyard.” This view is questionable. Anti-U.S. sentiments in Latin America are certainly strong. Some opinion polls have shown that Bush is one of the most disliked foreign leaders there. Moreover, Latin American countries dare to challenge the United States on some major issues. Nonetheless, Latin America remains the U.S. backyard mainly because of geopolitical factors. As the only superpower in the world, the United States is bound to play a dominant role in international relations in the Western Hemisphere.
Furthermore, Latin American countries are in no position to end their economic dependence on the United States, their largest export market and main source of foreign investment. Large numbers of legal and illegal Latin American emigrants pour into the United States every year. Their remittance is a major source of foreign exchange for many Latin American countries. In some Central American countries, remittance from the United States accounts for up to 10 percent of the gross domestic product. De-Americanization will never occur in Latin America. It is interesting to note that, for all Chavez’s verbal attacks against Bush, Venezuela continues to export large amounts of oil to the United States. Likewise, although Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva often finds fault with U.S. foreign policy, relations between the two countries remain sound. When Bush visited Brazil in November 2005, pictures showing Lula and Bush shaking hands with big smiles were all over Brazilian newspapers and websites. In conclusion, cooperation and confrontation are both basic features of U.S.-Latin America relations.
A focus of attention
Many international observers believe that the prime reason for the disputes between the United States and Latin American countries in recent years is that the United States neglected Latin America as it adjusted its global strategy after the Cold War. Others argue that the United States, which shifted its diplomatic focus to antiterrorism following the September 11 terrorist attacks in 2001, has little time for the relatively peaceful Latin America. Given the lack of U.S. attention, Latin American leftists reemerged to forge an anti-U.S. axis in the Western Hemisphere.
During the Cold War, especially after the Cuban missile crisis in 1962, the United States gave top priority to guarding against the communist influence from the Soviet Union in its security strategy for the Western Hemisphere. It took a series of measures to control Latin America. For example, President John F. Kennedy established the Alliance for Progress to provide economic assistance to Latin American countries. The United States used military means to overthrow hostile regimes, replacing them with pro-U.S. dictators to curb leftist forces. It also sold U.S. culture and Western-style democracy to Latin American countries by exporting Hollywood movies, books and magazines, promoting U.S. consumption patterns and enrolling Latin American students.
Of course, substantive changes have taken place in relations between the United States and Latin America since the end of the Cold War. As the Soviet Union no longer exists, the United States has shifted its focus from security to the economic field. U.S. leaders frequently visit Latin American countries to engage in dialogue on major issues such as immigration, antiterrorism, the anti-drug campaign, and trade and investment. It has reached bilateral free trade agreements with many Latin American countries in recent years. Since the early 1990s, the United States has held four Summits of the Americas with Latin American countries. In addition, the United States uses multilateral mechanisms such as the Organization of American States to exercise its influence in the Western Hemisphere. Latin America is sure to get further attention as the United States consolidates its sphere of influence, no matter which party gains control of the White House.

—The Daily Mail-Beijing Review Articles Exchange Item


Military operation in Sri Lanka – India’s loyalty on test
Afshain Afzal

THE ongoing Sri Lanka’s military intensive operation against Liberation Tamil Tiger Eelam (LTTE) strongholds produced negative impact through neighbouring India. Tamil parties in Indian Parliament voiced against the military action in Sri Lanka and called New Delhi to intervene to stop genocide against Tamils in the Northern Sri Lankan war zone. Legislators from the Southern Tamil Nadu state, where the LTTE was once trained and still has strong political influence, have threatened to quit the ruling party and Parliament if Prime Minister Manmohan Singh does not stop the war within two weeks. India has generally been reluctant to become directly involved in Sri Lanka’s internal affairs after a disastrous military intervention in the 1980s that led to the assassination of former Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi by allegedly LTTE cadres. But officially India has put the Tamil Tigers on their respective terrorist lists. Many among India’s Tamil population, particularly in Tamil Nadu state, support or sympathize with the LTTE cadres. Although Indian Intelligence agencies especially RAW (Research and Analysis Wing) secretly aide LTTE and other separatist groups but India’s geopolitical concerns have prevented it from exerting undue pressure on Sri Lanka to halt the ongoing operations against LTTE. India is aware of the fact that if it distances from the Sri Lankan government, Sri Lanka would bend towards China, Pakistan, and Iran. Growing Chinese and Pakistani influence in Sri Lanka has already raised alarm in India.
As DMK continued to mount pressure on the Sri Lanka Tamil issue, government summoned Sri Lankan High Commissioner to India, C R Jayasinghe on 24 October, 2008 and told him that Colombo should address New Delhi’s concerns over the humanitarian situation in the island nation and stop harassing and killing Indian fishermen. Foreign Secretary Shivshankar Menon told Ambassador C R Jayasinghe that India was gravely worried over the situation arising out the conflict in Sri Lanka and wanted Colombo to address these concerns. The Foreign Secretary specifically told Sri Lanka that India wanted that Colombo should find a negotiated political solution to the ethnic problem rather than look for a military victory. In another development, Indian authorities arrested LTTE stanch supporter and political leader, V. Gopalswamy, also known as Vaiko. He was arrested by Indian Police on charges of making seditious statements, after threatening to take up arms in support of the LTTE at a rally where he accused India’s government of backing Sri Lanka’s army. Vaiko and other Tamils in India are of the view that if India gives arms to Sri Lanka in name of safeguarding its sovereignty they cannot keep quiet and would take up arms against Indian government. India provides weapons to Sri Lanka and share intelligence that has helped Sri Lanka intercept Tiger boats. The arrest of V. Gopalswamy alias Vaiko brought a wave of anger in the southern Tamil Nadu state, which is not only the home to the majority of the world’s 77 million Tamils but also epicenter of pre-election pressure on Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s ruling coalition. This time India cannot take a bold step and intervene in the internal affairs of Sri Lanka as it wants to project herself on international canvas as a refined state opposed to all forms of terrorist activities.
Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s government is confident that it can win coming elections as it has gained military and political momentum with advances deeper into LTTE cadres held territory but to continue with the operations against LTTE cadres, Sri Lanka requires regular supply of arms and ammunition. Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s brother Basil, who is Advisor to the government reached India on October 26, 2008, while his other brother Gotabhaya, who is Defence Secretary is due to visit Pakistan during this week in pursuit of continuous weapon supplies. It is pertinent to mention here that Pakistan is one of Sri Lanka’s major weapons suppliers and if India government under the pressure of the Parliamentarian from Tamil Nadu refuses or delay weapon supply to Sri Lanka, Pakistan or China card would be open to Sri Lanka. India cannot afford that Pakistan or China takes its place because India’s long awaited ambition of inclusion of Tamil land into Indian federation are attached with interference in the Sri Lankan internal affairs and continuous presence of diplomatic, intelligence and no diplomatic forces in Sri Lanka.
India’s hypocritical moves till today are hidden from the international community. On one hand it is officially branding LTTE and other such groups, which have taken arms against the legitimate government of Sri Lanka as terrorists but on the other hand is secretly aiding the same elements who she considers terrorists. The well wishers and sympathizers of LTTE cadres in India’s Tamil Nadu state are members of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s ruling coalition. In other words, Singh’s government, which has designated LTTE a terrorist group, also counts pro-LTTE Tamil politicians among its political allies. Does this means, the ruling India government is in collation with terrorists. There is no doubt that Sri Lankan Tamils claims that they are subjected to decades of marginalization by successive governments dominated by the Sinhalese majority still remains unaddressed. These problems should be addressed through political dialogue so that peace remains restored. Nevertheless, in case of poor Tamils who had been armed and trained by Indian Intelligence but when they become powerful to snatch their rights, India betrayed them and stared supplying arms and real time intelligence to their opponents for mere own vested interests. India is facing difficulty in fulfilling its commitments with LTTE cadres and Sri Lankan government as its game plan appears exposed. The people and governments of many South Asian countries including Sri Lanka are looking for other partners as India has proved that its own ambitions are more important than the peace, sovereignty and very existence of rival communities and countries.

Trouble with economics
Guy Dammann

I’VE often wondered why economics was labelled a “dismal science”, and now I know. In most sciences, there’s an element of mastery such that the more you know your subject, the better you get at it. But with economics, the reverse seems to be the case. Thus, while even though all of us lowest-common-denominator joe-schmoes have known that the economy has been heading for recession for some time, it’s taken until this week for the news to reach both the governor of the Bank of England and the prime minister. When Brown’s faithful replacement as chancellor called time on growth way back in August, he was roundly criticised from every quarter.
The problem, of course, is that because the science of economics is not only dismal but soft, the credibility of those whose power is rooted in economic analysis rests not on solid findings but on something like a credit scoring system. To the extent that they guess right, or gamble successfully, they build up credibility, or creditworthiness, and because no-one can hold anyone to account on the basis of the facts of the matter - because, by and large, there aren’t any - then their credit rating is, again by and large, pretty much all they have. But in the case of figures like Brown and Mervyn King, there’s so much credit invested in them by virtue of their position that they’re left with few options but to oversell everything that they do announce, or - in cases such as the present one, where the bottom has fallen out of whole system - simply come clean after the fact in a kind of credibility correction.
Now we’re in this mess, of course, it doesn’t help to have people like me poking fun at the whole thing, any more than it helps to have what Guardian columnist Simon Jenkins the other day called “Guardian writers” pretending that capitalism has eaten itself. Capitalism is more likely to eat us before it eats itself. But there is one interesting absence in the melee of commentary on the recession, which is that there don’t seem to be any Marxists left to take a moral stand. You’d think, to continue the economics analogy, they’d stand to profit from the situation, buying up dirt-cheap political stock in what must surely be a bear market for anti-capitalist ideology. But while there has been slight increase of the visibility of Socialist Worker sellers amid the usual swarms of London Lites, of high profile told-you-so-ing there has been little sign. Even Brendan O’Neill has kept quiet, perhaps preferring to cry for alms rather than arms. It has been said often enough, since the Soviet bloc crumbled into nothingness during the early 1990s, that Marxism has been thoroughly “discredited”. Yet, in its absence, as the pragmatics of free-market capitalism have, in various guises, filled the ideological vacuum, I wonder if we don’t miss it.

—Khaleej Times

     

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