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Unmitigated problem of growing poverty
AMONG the major issues awaiting the new government’s attention is that
of poverty which, as a press report quoting the World Bank and the Asian
Development Bank points out, has been on the increase since 2004. The
two organisations now plan to offer $600 million conditional funding to
the incoming government for poverty alleviation, channelling the money
through the Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund, micro finance banks and
some respectable non-governmental organisations. This surely would be
helpful, but a meaningful change would call for a review of the present
definition of poverty together with the pattern of development. Indeed,
it is hard to refute the previous government’s claims about the
country’s macroeconomic indicators being strong and the industrial
sector growing at an impressive pace, even though the current energy
crisis has adversely impacted all economic activity. It is equally
difficult to deny the other reality: that income inequalities have
increased significantly, aggravating the twin problems of poverty and
unemployment. As per the recent claims by the previous PML-Q government,
poverty had come down from 33 percent to around 24 percent, registering
a reduction of nearly 10 percent. Not true, say those familiar with the
situation, although they do recognise that on this particular score the
period between 2000 and 2004 presented a healthier picture. Much of this
controversy was caused by the government’s natural desire to make its
performance look good to the public as well as the various donor
agencies. Its task was made easy because of the different formulas that
are used to measure poverty. These include caloric intake, and access to
necessities of life as well as basic facilities like healthcare and
education.
The former UN Secretary General, Kofi Annan, constantly maintained that
people earning less than dollar a day income had to be counted among
those living below the poverty line. For obvious reasons, our government
chose the caloric intake formula. In a wheat growing country where bread
was the staple of diet, it was safe to use that yardstick in order to
declare a sizeable reduction in the scourge of poverty. From the public
perspective, it simply amounted to sweeping the problem under the carpet
as government leaders went on to boast having achieved economic growth
rate second only to the world’s fastest growing economy, that of China.
In the meantime, rising level of poverty, aside from causing untold
suffering to well over a quarter of the country’s population, has kept
generating a host of issues and concerns. The rural areas having been
the worst affected, rural-to-urban migration accelerated considerably
during the recent years, putting undue pressures on the big cities’
civic facilities. Law and order situation has deteriorated a great deal,
undermining overall socio-economic progress. The path ahead is certainly
arduous, but if the new government has the necessary will and right
order of priorities, it can make important advances towards poverty
reduction. There is need to adopt transparent measures to attack and
eliminate the problem as we know it today. To begin with, the government
must state its preferred definition of poverty. The UN prescribed
formula may suffice for now. Nonetheless, the focus must remain on
addressing the bigger issue of income inequalities.
Seeding the nuclear
renaissance
The world is on the brink of a
second nuclear renaissance. Prodded by rising oil prices and concerns
about global warming, nations are reconsidering the nuclear energy
option and finding it attractive. A significant increase in the number
of nuclear reactors worldwide, however, also increases the risk of
nuclear proliferation. There have been various suggestions on ways to
diminish that risk. One option is a multilateral fuel bank that would
supply uranium to countries with nuclear reactors. Long dismissed as
unrealistic, this proposal looks increasingly plausible and deserves
serious consideration. The Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT)
acknowledges that all nations have the right to the peaceful use of
nuclear energy. If they renounce the military option, they are entitled
to all components of the nuclear-fuel cycle. In theory, the distinction
between military and peaceful uses of nuclear energy is clear; in
reality, it is a fiction. The acquisition of reprocessing facilities is
the key concern. The uranium used to fuel most reactors is not suitable
for military purposes. But reprocessing facilities that “clean” fuel
burned in reactors creates nuclear byproducts more suitable to military
uses. The danger is that countries will pledge to develop nuclear energy
for peaceful purposes, acquire technologies that enable them to build
weapons and then quit the treaty. This occurred with North Korea and
some say it is under way in Iran. There have been several suggestions on
how to deal with this threat. The Additional Protocols, developed in the
1990s, gave the world’s atomic watchdog, the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA), new powers to inspect member states. But experts believe
that a government determined to cheat on its nuclear obligations can
defeat IAEA intents.
Another option is the creation of an international fuel bank to supply
nuclear fuel to countries with nuclear reactors. The establishment of
such a facility would make it possible for nations to avoid acquiring
the capability to operate the entire fuel cycle. Since it would be
multilateral, it would also guarantee a steady supply of fuel, a great
concern of nations that do not have indigenous uranium supplies — most
countries, in fact. The notion of an international fuel bank has been
around for decades. It is provided for in the IAEA’s founding statute.
Nonetheless, it was considered a pie-in-the-sky idea until September
2006, when the Nuclear Threat Initiative, a charitable organization
dedicated to reducing threats from weapons of mass destruction, offered
the IAEA $50 million to develop a fuel bank, provided that other IAEA
member states contributed an additional $100 million or the equivalent
in low-enriched uranium. In its fiscal 2008 budget, the United States
provided another $50 million, leaving the IAEA just $50 million short of
its goal. Last month, Norway pledged another $5 million.
—Japan Times
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