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Oil rebounds
after falling below $93
Foreign Desk Report
LONDON—Oil prices rebounded slightly Wednesday after earlier falling
below $93. Light, sweet crude for March delivery rose 18 cents to $92.96
a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange by early afternoon in
Europe. The contract fell 81 cents to settle at $92.78 a barrel Tuesday.
Oil had fallen as traders overlooked Venezuela’s halt of crude sales to
Exxon Mobil and instead focused on forecasts for rising U.S. supplies
and falling global demand. The state-run Petroleos de Venezuela SA, or
PDVSA, said Tuesday it had halted crude sales to Exxon Mobil Corp., the
world’s biggest oil company, in response to its court bid to freeze
billions of dollars in Venezuelan assets. Exxon Mobil is challenging the
nationalization of its Venezuelan oil ventures in a dispute that has
seen President Hugo Chavez threaten to cut off all supply to the United
States. Venezuela is currently the United States’ fourth largest oil
supplier.
Analysts said the impact of PDVSA’s move on the crude market is
primarily psychological and unlikely to significantly reduce supplies.
Energy Information Administration data say that Exxon Mobil imported 2.7
million barrels of crude from Venezuela in November, excluding supplies
for a refinery at Chalmette, Louisiana, a joint venture in which PDVSA
and Exxon Mobil are equal partners.
The Chalmette refinery imported about 2.3 million barrels from Venezuela
in November, according to the EIA. So far it is not clear how crude
supplied to the facility will be affected by the cutoff in sales to
Exxon Mobil. “Most market participants, including myself, don’t think
that Hugo Chavez will actually go through with his threat of halting
crude sales to the U.S.,” Victor Shum, an analyst with Purvin & Gertz in
Singapore. “The amount they sell to the U.S. is about half of what
Venezuela produces in total, and at today’s high prices, that represents
a lot of revenue.” Meanwhile, the executive director of the
International Energy Agency, Nobuo Tanaka, said at an energy conference
in Houston, Texas, on Tuesday that the organization will cut its monthly
oil demand forecast for the year by 200,000 barrels a day. The revision
came amid concern about a slowdown in the U.S. economy that could reduce
demand.
Tanaka also said the IEA is monitoring the situation with Venezuela and
Exxon Mobil, but is not classifying it as a major supply disruption at
this point. Investors were also eyeing the release of U.S. petroleum
supply data later in the day. In its weekly inventory report, the Energy
Information Administration was expected to report that crude inventories
grew 2.7 million barrels last week, according to the average estimate of
analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires.
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