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Russian vote seen as referendum on Putin
Foreign Desk Report
MOSCOW— Russians voted Sunday in a parliamentary election where the only
question was whether President Vladimir Putin’s party would win a strong
majority of seats or a crushing share.
The election follows months of increasingly acidic rhetoric aimed
against the West and efforts, by law and by truncheon, to stifle
opponents. A huge win for Putin’s United Russia party could pave the way
for him to stay at the country’s helm once his presidential term expires
in the spring. The party casts the election as essentially a referendum
on Putin’s nearly eight years in office. Many of its campaign banners
that festoon the capital read “Moscow is voting for Putin.” “He’s a good
man. Any woman would love to see him in her house,” said Polina Amanyeva,
58, at a Moscow polling station where she said she voted for United
Russia.
Putin is constitutionally prohibited from running for a third
consecutive term as president in March. But he clearly wants to keep his
hand on Russia’s levers of power, and has raised the prospect of
becoming prime minister; many supporters have suggested his becoming a
“national leader,” though what duties and powers that would entail are
unclear. He has said that a strong showing for the party Sunday would
give him the moral right to ensure that politicians in power continue
his policies. Recent opinion polls suggest the party could win up to 80
percent of seats.
“I’m sure that voters have determined their preferences and now only
have to come and vote for the party whose platform seems convincing,
vote for those people in whom you trust,” Putin told reporters after
casting his ballot at the Russian Academy of Sciences. The dominance of
United Russia provoked a fatalistic attitude in some voters. “I think
the result was pretty much planned in advance. I don’t know who I’ll
vote for; I’ll decide when I get to the booth,” said Ivan Kudrashov as
he entered Moscow’s Christ the Savior Cathedral for Sunday Mass.
Alexander Mikhailov, 39, said outside a polling station in Moscow that
he wanted to vote for a “truly democratic party” and chose the liberal
opposition Yabloko because “there is no other choice.” In Moscow, about
15 gay-rights activists were detained at a polling station after a
protest in which they scrawled “No to homophobia” on their ballots.
The voting started in the Far Eastern regions of Chukotka and Kamchatka
while Muscovites were preparing for bed late Saturday. It concludes in
the western exclave of Kaliningrad at 1 p.m. EST Sunday. The vote is the
first national ballot under new election laws that have been widely
criticized as marginalizing opposition forces. All the seats will be
awarded proportionately to how much of the vote a party receives; in
previous elections, half the seats were distributed among candidates
contesting a specific district, which allowed a few mavericks to get in.
The new laws also say a party must receive at least 7 percent of the
national vote to get any seats — up from the previous 5 percent. A poll
by the All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center in mid-November showed
the Communists and two other parties hovering near the cutoff point.
Opposition parties, meanwhile, claim authorities have confiscated
campaign materials and that the managers of halls have refused to rent
them out for opposition meetings. Police have violently broken up
opposition rallies — most recently in Moscow and St. Petersburg last
weekend — and national television gives the parties hardly any coverage.
In contrast, Putin’s speeches to supporters have been broadcast in full
and repeated throughout evening newscasts. “The fact is, they’re not
just rigging the vote. They’re raping the democratic system,” said chess
champion and opposition leader Garry Kasparov on Sunday.
Kasparov, who was jailed for five days after the Moscow protest, spoiled
his ballot by writing on it “Other Russia,” the name of his opposition
umbrella group.
Sunday’s vote “meets none of the criteria of a free, fair and democratic
election. In effect, it is not even an election,” Andrei Illarionov, a
former adviser to Putin, wrote in a commentary for the Cato Institute
think tank.
Under Putin, Russia has become inundated with oil revenue, a nascent
middle class is developing and the war against separatists in Chechnya
has faded into sporadic, small clashes. Russia’s newly assertive
military policy and inclination to taunt and criticize the West appeals
strongly to Russians who suffered physically and emotionally in the
early post-Soviet years.
Disdain for the West has been one of the dominating themes of the
election. Putin has called his opponents “foreign-fed jackals” and
warned that Russia will not tolerate meddling from abroad.
All those factors contribute to strong support for United Russia. But
with the competition stifled and the election result seen as a foregone
conclusion, some of the 107 million eligible to vote could find apathy,
inertia or simply the winter weather keeping them away from the ballot
box.
“It’s clear that the current election will only stabilize the interests
for one man, who has already run the country for a long time,” said Musa
Isayev, a 40-year-old resident of Grozny, the capital of Chechnya.
There’s no minimum turnout needed for the election to be valid — another
change from previous elections — but a low number of voters could
undermine Putin’s claim that Russia is developing into a true democracy,
albeit one with only passing resemblance to Western democracies.
Authorities throughout Russia’s 11 time zones appear determined to
ensure a sizable turnout, through pressure, persuasion and even
presents. One region is offering young voters passes to pools and sports
facilities; another says new housing will be built in whichever village
shows the most “mature” turnout.
Teachers, doctors and other workers have complained that their bosses
are ordering them to vote — usually with the implication that they
should vote for United Russia.
With Russia showing an increasingly assertive military policy and with
foreign hunger growing for Russia’s oil, gas and minerals, the election
is of strong interest overseas. But international organizations are not
able to watch as closely as they had hoped.
The elections-monitoring arm of the Organization for Security and
Cooperation in Europe, regarded in the West as the most authoritative
assessor of whether an election is fair, canceled plans to send
observers. It said Russia had delayed granting visas for so long that
the organization would be unable to conduct a meaningful assessment of
election preparations.
Russia has criticized monitoring by the OSCE elsewhere in the former
Soviet Union as supporting protests that forced leadership changes, but
it denied that it was impeding operations in Russia. Putin claimed the
pullout was initiated by the United States in an effort to discredit the
elections and his government.
A total of about 300 observers from various international organizations
were scheduled to monitor the voting, including some from the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization of Russia, China and ex-Soviet Central Asian
republics
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