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Curbing global warming
Lan Xinzhen

IACCORDING to figures from the State Environmental Protection Administration, China’s energy consumption per 10,000 yuan ($1,342) of gross domestic product (GDP) went down from the equivalent of 2.68 tons of coal in 1990 to 1.43 tons in 2005. Over these 15 years, China saved energy totaling 800 million tons of coal equivalent, which led to a reduction of carbon dioxide emissions by 1.8 billion tons. Over the same period, China has expanded the plantation of trees, which have absorbed 5 billion tons of carbon dioxide. Forests absorb carbon dioxide at a rate of 500 million tons every year. That means that without China’s forceful measures to cut carbon dioxide emissions, at least 7 billion tons more carbon dioxide would have been expelled into the atmosphere every year.
Practical measures
Although China is the second biggest national greenhouse gas emitter only after the United States, China’s per-capita carbon dioxide discharge is 3.65 tons, only 87 percent of the world average level. In 2002, China ratified the Kyoto Protocol, which came into effect in 2005. Although developing countries like China were not included in any numerical limitations of the protocol, the country still takes effective measures to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and offset the effects of expelled carbon dioxide.
Gao Guangsheng, an official of the Department of Resource Conservation and Environmental Protection of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), said the government is fighting against global warming through direct and indirect measures. Direct measures include closing down or conducting technical reforms of small factories that cause heavy pollution or have high energy consumption levels. Indirect measures include planting trees to absorb carbon dioxide. In 2006 alone, the Central Government invested a total of 25.6 million yuan ($3.4 million) in energy preservation and reduction of carbon dioxide.
The government has attached enormous attention to transforming economic growth models and adjusting economic structures, and regards lowering energy consumption, clean production and preventing industrial pollution as important elements of industrial policy. China has also embarked on improving its energy mix through developing low- carbon energies and renewable energies. Among the composition of China’s primary energy consumption, the proportion of coal dropped from 76.2 percent in 1990 to 68.9 percent in 2005. Over the same period, the proportions of petroleum, natural gas and hydropower rose from 16.6 percent, 2.1 percent and 5.1 percent to 21 percent, 2.9 percent and 7.2 percent respectively. In 2006 the consumption of renewable energy in China reached 167 million tons of coal equivalent, accounting for 7.5 percent of total energy consumption. This equals reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 380 million tons.
The Chinese Government has set a goal of reducing energy consumption per unit of GDP by 20 percent and reducing major pollutants by 10 percent between 2006 and 2010. In order to achieve this goal, the government plans to close down small thermal power units of 50 million kw. The goal for 2007 of shutting down units of 10 million kw has been accomplished. China is also actively developing the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), a flexible financing instrument defined in the Kyoto Protocol that enables developing countries to benefit from the reduction of emissions of harmful greenhouse gases and promotion of sustainable development. According to the latest release from the Office of the National Coordination Committee on Climate Change under the NDRC, the NDRC had ratified a total of 788 CDM programs by September 4.
Chinese CDM programs include exploring new types of energy, energy preservation projects, the recycling of methane, decomposition of harmful greenhouse gas trifluoromethane and finding new substitute fuels. The NDRC has listed exploring new energies, developing renewable energies, energy preservation, enhancing energy efficiency and expanding the recycling of methane and coal-seam gas as key CDM projects. Besides measures to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases, China is putting even more effort into planting trees to absorb carbon dioxide. China has a total of 54 million hectares of man-made forests, which ranks top in the world. Due to the measures of planting new trees and protecting existing forests, China’s forest area has achieved substantial growth. The country has maintained 175 million hectares of forests, which covers about 18.21 percent of the land.
According to a study by Chinese environmental experts, the trees China planted between 1980 and 2005 have absorbed a total of 3.06 billion tons of carbon dioxide; the forests are still absorbing carbon dioxide at a rate of 500 million tons per year. Attending the 15th Economic Leaders’ Meeting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Forum in Sydney in September, Chinese President Hu Jintao advocated the promotion of China’s experience of planting trees to curb global warming, which received media attention and positive comments from other countries. China has announced plans to raise its forest coverage rate from the current 18.2 percent to 20 percent by 2010.
In the joint proposal between China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) issued at the China-ASEAN Forestry Cooperation Forum on October 30, both sides agreed to reduce the felling of trees and increase forest coverage in order to slow down global warming. The Chinese Government’s keen attention to global warming led to the establishment of a leading panel to work on responding to climate change under the State Council, headed by Premier Wen Jiabao, in June this year. China was also the first developing country to issue a national action plan on climate change, which specifies the country’s specific goals, basic principles, key areas and policies for curbing climate change by 2010.
The Chinese Government is also combining its efforts in curbing climate change with the implementation of sustainable development strategies and the construction of a resource-saving, environment-friendly and innovation-oriented society. “As a developing country, China is shouldering more and more responsibility in curbing climate change and reducing greenhouse gases,” said Gao.
Goals for next five years
China will reduce the emission of nearly 1 billion tons of carbon dioxide every year by 2010, about 2.5 times of the current capacity of 400 million tons. Through promotion of energy preservation technologies, energy consumption per unit of GDP in 2010 will be 20 percent lower than that of 2005, which can be transformed into reduction of carbon dioxide emissions. Policies leveraging the development of metallurgy, construction material and chemical industries have been issued to develop recycling and raise energy efficiency, such as stabilizing the emission of nitrous oxide in production at the level of 2005 by 2010.
The government has taken measures to expand the use of biogas and control the growing speed of methane emissions. “The key measure is to overhaul the energy mix,” said Gao. China is one of the few countries to rely on coal as its leading fuel source. Of China’s total primary energy consumption in 2005, totaling 2.233 billion tons of coal equivalent, coal consumption made up 68.9 percent, petroleum 21 percent and other energies including natural gas, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and solar power occupied 10.1 percent.
In contrast, of the global primary energy consumption of the same year, coal consumption accounted for merely 27.8 percent, petroleum 36.4 percent and natural gas, hydropower and nuclear power totaled 35.8 percent. China’s heavy reliance on coal consumption has made the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions a particularly daunting challenge for China. China’s national action plan on climate change stated how the reduction of 1 billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions by 2010 can be realized. The exploitation of hydropower could reduce emissions by 500 million tons; the development of nuclear power could cut emissions by 50 million tons; upgrading thermal power generation facilities and dismissing small thermal power units could reduce emissions of 110 million tons; the expanded use of coal-seam gas could reduce emissions of 200 million tons; the development of bio-energy could reduce emissions by 30 million tons; and the development of wind power, solar power, terrestrial heat and wave power could reduce carbon dioxide emissions by another 60 million tons.
The Central Government has encouraged and designed incentives for financial institutions loaning money to projects of environmental protection and pollution reduction as well as offering taxation incentives to these projects. As for high-pollution factories and high-energy consuming-companies, the State Environmental Protection Administration and NDRC have advised financial institutions against loaning money to these companies.
Seeking international support
Gao said China’s backward production of energy and low efficiency in energy use are the two reasons for China’s colossal greenhouse gas emissions. Technologies in energy exploitation, transformation and transportation in China lag far behind advanced industrial countries. Meanwhile, backward production facilities still account for a large percentage of China’s key industrial sectors. For example, energy consumption per ton of steel in small companies is about 200 kg of coal equivalent larger than that of big companies that produce both iron and steel. Therefore, technological upgrades will play an important role in China’s efforts to curb climate change. China also badly needs international technological cooperation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. According to the National Climate Change Program, China needs technical support on atmosphere observation, ocean and terrestrial ecosystem protection, earth resource and ocean resource satellite remote sensing, climate change monitoring and testing and calculation in climate models. China is in need of international cooperation in these fields.
China is engaged in a series of large-scale infrastructure construction projects, which demand the installment of greenhouse gas reduction technologies, such as high-efficiency low-pollution thermal power technology, nuclear power technology and renewable energy technology. The failure to install these technologies would lead to high emissions of greenhouse gases from these facilities in the coming decades. The introduction of technologies in these fields from abroad will greatly boost China’s capacity to curb climate change, said Gao.
 

(The Daily Mail-Beijing Review Articles Exchange Item)


Lebanon’s version of Russian roulette
Claude Salhani

IT’S coming down to the wire with just a few days left before President Emile Lahoud’s already extended mandate runs out. The cut-off date is November 21 and Lebanon’s pro-independence members of parliament are playing a Lebanese version of Russian roulette. But instead of a revolver loaded with a single bullet, this game is played with car bombs and professional assassins. Gathered in a Beirut hotel under heavy guard a number of parliamentarians, members of the pro-democracy March 14 Movement turned to the US Congress for help. In a November 7 letter addressed to both the US House and Senate the Lebanese lawmakers wrote: “When we signed up for grass-roots democracy our names were added to a list of those marked for death. We don’t seek your sympathy. We merely seek your support in ensuring that the Lebanese can ultimately share in the simple but precious values that you dearly cherish and we are still struggling to achieve.”
Six of the March 14 legislators have already been murdered in recent months and understandably the others fear for their lives. “It is from our enforced imprisonment in a Beirut hotel (to avoid our number dwindling even further), that we draft and send this letter to the democratic representatives of the free world,” write the Lebanese parliamentarians. The Nov 21 deadline set by the constitution to elect a new president is rapidly approaching and the two opposing camps, the pro-independence, anti-Syrian, March 14 Movement who enjoys the backing of the United States and France, and on the other side General Michel Aoun and Hezbollah, with Syrian and Iranian support, are unable to agree on a single candidate. Complicating the matter further is the speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, who needs to keep the parliament open so that its members can convene and vote. This has not been the case. France, the former colonial master of Syria and Lebanon, has been trying to negotiate a settlement to the crisis. French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who had promised upon his election to stand by Lebanon, has dispatched two high-ranking diplomats to Damascus to ask Syria to lay off Lebanon. But at the best of times the Middle East’s politics are Machiavellian to say the least. Syria’s President Bashar Assad promised the French envoys he would stay out of Lebanese internal affairs if Lebanon’s Maronite Patriarch would select a list of names to send to the parliament. And so the waiting game goes on.
“Let’s say that’s why we’re waiting for the magic word from the patriarch,” Walid Joumblatt, a member of parliament, leader of the Druze community and one of the main figures of the March 14 Movement told me during a telephone conversation. The patriarch, however, under pressure from both camps, seems hesitant to play the role of King Solomon. Some names have already been put forward only to be dismissed; they are seen as either too pro-Syrian by the March 14 Movement, or too much anti-Syrian by Hezbollah and their allies. “Nothing called an independent Lebanon seems acceptable to Syria,” said a Lebanese member of parliament who spoke on condition his name not be revealed. One name being thrown about is that of the president of the Maronite League, a banker called Joseph Tarrabay.
In the meantime tension between the two camps has reached a new climax when in a speech last Sunday Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah asked of President Lahoud, who is very much in the pro-Syrian camp, to do anything he can to prevent “the killers and the thieves (of the March 14 Movement) to achieve a quorum of 50 plus one,” the number that would give them the majority in the House to elect a new president. “This time it was a direct threat,” said a member of the anti-Syrian movement who requested not to be identified. Druze leader Walid Joumblatt qualified what is going on in Lebanon today as the “last battle of the Maronites.” It could also be the last battle of a free Lebanon. In their plea for help to the US Congress the Lebanese parliamentarians warn that the 2005 Cedar Revolution “is in danger of becoming a historical footnote.”
Any democratic gains they say “are being slowly eroded by Iran and Syria, who are determined to snuff out the new democratic ideal. “If they are successful, Lebanon, the only bastion of democracy in the Arab world, will cease to exist and the consequences for a region, where you are fighting to fight back the tide of religious and radical extremism, will be catastrophic.” Preoccupied with the Middle East peace conference due to be held in Annapolis sometime this month — and there are less than about 15 days left — the Bush administration already has its hands full. The one bright light at the end of this long dark tunnel would be if Damascus was invited to the peace conference — and accepted the invitation — to discuss the outstanding issues plaguing the region today. That would include Israel’s occupation of the Golan Heights and Syria’s interference in Lebanon. But this is a tall order on a rather short notice. It will take more than 15 days to put together an agenda of that magnitude.—Khaleej Times


Iran’s quest for security & stability
Manuchehr Mottaki

A Major shortcoming in today’s world is the persistence of a zero-sum sense of geopolitics. The world expected something different in the post-Cold War era to promote peace and stability. Instead, after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, momentum swung toward a “global war on terror,” which, in practice, became the rationale for maintaining a Cold War mentality and for supporting strategies of preemptive war and regime change. These strategies have intensified instability and the threat of international terrorism.
Consider my country, Iran, which has not invaded a country in 250 years. After decades of struggle against dictatorship and foreign domination, we secured our freedom and independence in 1979 by establishing a political system of our own choosing. Instead of establishing friendly relations with Iran based on this new reality, the United States has consistently sought to restore its domination, even providing massive diplomatic, financial and military support to the late former Iraqi president, Saddam Hussein, in his war against my country during the 1980s. The current dispute over Iran’s peaceful and legal nuclear program is part of this pattern, replete with unfounded accusations, double standards, and moral and legal inconsistency, all hidden behind the alleged threat of proliferation.
Iran’s peaceful nuclear program originated in the late 1960s and in the 1970s. Iran’s energy demand will exceed its supply, possibly reducing or even eliminating its oil export capacity in the near future. Thus, Iran urgently needs to produce 20,000 megawatts of nuclear power by 2020. As long ago as 1973, the U.S. government saw that Iran would need nuclear power. Indeed, the U.S. expected that Iran would be capable of generating 20,000 megawatts by 1994. Despite the encouragement of Iran’s civil nuclear program by the U.S., Britain, Germany and France, they all ultimately reneged on their contractual commitments after our revolution in 1979. Today, some of these governments are even questioning Iran’s need for nuclear energy — a matter that was obvious to them 30 years ago.
Iran does not need nuclear weapons to protect its regional interests, and such weapons have no place in Iran’s security strategy. It seeks to win the confidence of its neighbors and has remained within the confines of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). The latest report from the International Atomic Energy Agency has verified that there has been no diversion of Iran’s civil nuclear program to weapons development. Iran has even proposed regional and multinational participation in its uranium enrichment facilities — only to be met by resounding silence from the Western powers. Meanwhile, U.S. policy toward nuclear nonproliferation and the NPT regime is a case in point of double standards and a lack of sensitivity to other countries’ security concerns. While the U.S. seeks to use unilateral and unlawful pressure to preclude Iran’s legitimate right to peaceful nuclear energy, it has assisted in developing Israel’s nuclear capabilities. Indeed, the U.S. has acted as a buffer to insulate Israel — whose prime minister has boasted about its nuclear weapons — from international scrutiny, ignoring calls by Iran and other countries to create a Mideast nuclear-free zone.—Japan Times

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