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Time to re-evaluate policies
By Hong Liang
The credit crisis arising from the US subprime mortgage woes may not
have as big an impact on the markets in Asia, and China in particular,
as it has on those in the US and Europe. But the problems have brought
into sharp focus numerous pertinent issues weighty enough to cause
financial planners around the world to rethink and re-evaluate their
policies.
One of the foremost questions is the future of commercial banks. As
developments in the US and Europe show, the middleman role for
commercial banks between depositors and borrowers is falling into
eclipse because more and more corporations are raising capital directly
from the public by issuing debt instruments and their derivatives that
can be traded easily in the various capital markets.
Thanks to the highly developed and relatively transparent market for
such instruments, it is possible to securitize almost anything that
promises to generate a predictable and consistent stream of income.
The outbreak of the credit crisis in the US, therefore, must not be seen
as a condemnation of the securitization trend. The crisis merely shows
up the problems that need to be addressed by the supervisory agencies to
facilitate and ensure a more orderly development of the market which is
providing an efficient channel for corporations to raise capital
directly from the public, who, in turn, are willing participants in
search for higher returns on their savings than bank interest rates.
Many commercial bankers long ago saw what was coming and made
preparations to adapt to the changes by focusing on expanding their
service-based incomes to such businesses as corporate advisory and
personal wealth management. The large commercial banks, empowered by
their huge capital bases, have also got into the securitization act in a
big way through their investment and private banking subsidiaries.
To be sure, the small- to medium-sized companies which lack the clout to
raise capital in the market, will continue to finance their operations
with loans from commercial banks. But in a highly competitive market
where interest rates are free, commercial banks are finding it
increasingly difficult to make a profit because of the narrowing spread
between the lending rates and cost of funds. The thinning profit margin
has prompted some banks in Hong Kong, for example, to charge service
fees on small deposits.
The threshold of the securitization business is high in terms of capital
and expertise. For that reason, the principal players in the market are
limited to the large international banking groups that control extensive
deposit collecting networks.
Taking the long-term view, the Shanghai municipal government has
proposed to establish a financial powerhouse, built around the Pudong
Development Bank, the largest Shanghai-based joint stock commercial
bank. It is hoped that such an entity will have adequate enough
financial resources and business scope to compete with the international
banking groups as Shanghai is making rapid progress to becoming an
international financial center.
Playing host to nearly all the major international banks in the world,
Hong Kong has remained structurally way ahead of other aspiring
financial centers in the region. To keep its lead, the Hong Kong
monetary officials have in the past several years reformed the
regulatory framework to bring it more in line with other international
financial centers.
The US credit crisis is troubling, but it serves to focus people’s minds
on the big changes that will reshape the global financial marketplace.
—The Daily Mail, China Daily news exchange item |