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Paradigm shift in Pakistan?
PERHAPS in addition to
criticising Pakistan’s fence-and-mines-plan along the Afghan border, the
UN and the Afghan government should have come forward with constructive
ideas to choke the alleged flow of insurgents across the border. Since
it’s the government in Kabul that points at the incursions as the basis
of the biggest threat to its stability, its reaction that rather than
the proposed approach, both countries should tackle “terrorists in a
real manner” is that much more difficult to understand, especially since
it stops short of elaborating on a viable alternative.
It is well-known that Afghanistan is littered with mines owing to the
two decades or so of relentless war that ravaged it, so apprehensions
about more mines at the borders can be understood. But to question the
fence as a possible barrier between tribal populations with strong ties
fails to drive the point home. Especially since Kabul blames the same
‘links’ for facilitating insurgents. It seems the Karzai administration
is suddenly more concerned about preserving the strong tribal ties than
stopping so-called terrorists crossing into Afghanistan — or it would
have proposed a more viable solution along with the criticism.
It deserves appreciating that despite the continuous not-doing-enough
charge, General Musharraf has perhaps the best record so far of the
war-on-terror leaders. His jirga deal with the tribals and stress on a
new approach of negotiating with the Taleban show he realises only too
well the dangers of sticking with the current military-option-only
policy — something that is lost on both the West and Kabul. Should the
trend not begin to change now, all parties concerned stand to lose much
more than just face stemming from policy-reversal.
It is also important to address accusations regarding the involvement of
Pakistan’s security agency ISI in the Afghan scenario, something which
both Washington and Kabul should be the last to question. Facts are
facts and need voicing at least as many times as criticism that misses
them. The void that the Pakistani establishment filled was created by
America’s negligent departure from the region and the subsequent Afghan
infighting of which the present government set-up was very much part.
Cruel as the Taleban were, they did put an end to war and destruction
that the present leaders did not care to then and cannot seem to now.
Rather than lean on Pakistan that has had the worst of both worlds — in
dealing with Afghan refugees and sacrificing its own personnel for the
terror-cause — the international coalition should learn from its
experiences in the region. It’s high-time for the West to change gears
in Afghanistan. Failing that, they should excuse Islamabad for crying de
ja vu in the first place (they’ve seen a superpower fall here before)
and we-told-you-so in the second.
A change in strategy
For Chinese automakers, making their brands known around the world has
been a long-cherished dream, and this dream is gradually coming true
thanks to their unremitting efforts. Nowadays, China is exporting its
autos to Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South America and other regions.
However, the export volume is still quite small. Notably, exports of
Chinese brands to Western markets are almost nil. It’s clear that there
is a big gap between China’s local brands and world-class labels. This
gap results more from the automakers’ development strategy than from
technical factors.
Five decades ago, China began to produce its own auto brands. But since
China adopted the policy of reform and opening up in the late 1970s, the
industry has turned to the strategy of exchanging access to the domestic
market for foreign technologies, that is, linking up with multinational
automakers. As a result, China has become a big workshop for Volkswagen,
Honda, Toyota, General Motors and Citroen vehicles, which have gradually
dominated the Chinese market.
In cooperating with their Chinese counterparts under joint ventures,
foreign manufacturers did contribute to the rapid development of the
Chinese auto industry and help it to become integrated with the global
market, but this cooperation mode has no lack of negative influences.
Since advanced technologies are seen proprietary, Chinese enterprises
can only learn old technologies that their foreign partners no longer
value, which are of little help to their self-development.
It’s clear that the strategy of “market for technology” has failed to
provide core technologies for the Chinese auto industry. Moreover, while
trying to digest and absorb the outdated technologies provided by their
partners, a great many Chinese carmakers have given up independent
research and development. The revival of Chinese auto brands started 10
years ago. It is in this period that some local brands, such as Chery,
Geely and Byd, have gradually gained popularity among buyers with their
compact cars.
Nowadays, the automobile brands produced in China fall into two
categories. The first is foreign brands, which are produced by
Sino-foreign joint ventures with technologies offered by international
automakers. They hold the majority share of China’s auto market. But the
local brands, with Chery as a representative, are catching up.
Influenced by the Chinese Government’s emphasis on creativity of the
local industries as specified in the country’s 11th Five-Year Plan
(2006-10), China’s auto industry is expected to change its old practice
of “market for technology.” And while indigenous automakers are becoming
increasingly strong, they, including many that previously relied heavily
on imported technologies, have begun to strengthen independent research
and development.
At the Beijing International Auto Show in November, Chinese local-brand
automobiles demonstrated the significant progress they have made in
performance, design, safety and user-friendliness. As a late starter,
however, China’s auto industry still has much to do and a long way to go
before it creates world-class brands. Especially, given the current
situation, there is a big question about whether the industry will be
able to shake off the strategy of “market for technology” in the near
term.
—Beijing Review
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