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Go hi-tech or go bust
Lan Xinzhen
To Li Zhonghai, a manager of a
wholesale market for agricultural products in a southern Beijing suburb,
the biggest industry change in recent years is price. “Most of the
agricultural products’ prices have dropped,” said Li, who is a
seven-year industry veteran.
After entering into the World Trade Organization (WTO), more and more
foreign agricultural products have been exerting enormous influence on
China, now only formerly a big agricultural power. Ten years ago, China
was the largest soybean producer. However, confronted with low-priced
imported soybeans, many farmers cut the planting area of soybeans,
making China only the fourth largest soybean producer in the world.
But what really is the future for Chinese agriculture? Will Chinese
agriculture, which has endured for several thousand years, gradually be
devoured by imported products?
Tariff too low
Tang Renwu, a professor with the School of Management of Beijing Normal
University, believes that the constant falling price of agricultural
products is due to the opening up of the agricultural product market.
From December 11, 2001, China adopted a tariff quota to agricultural
products. A tariff quota refers to a certain quota on imports, above
which a higher tariff is applied. The lower tariff rate applies to
imports within the tariff quota.
From the December date, China was obliged to import 9.4 million tons of
wheat, 5.3 million tons of rice, 7.2 million tons of corn, 894,000 tons
of cotton and 3.3 million tons of soybeans every year with a 1 percent
tariff (all part of the new tariff quota). This amounts to much lower
tariffs on imports, and leads to a price fall of domestic grain products
as well as vegetables.
Professor Tang Renwu pointed out that in 2002, the second year after
China’s entry into WTO, the vegetable price hit a record low and dropped
36 percent compared to the prices in the previous six years. In 2002,
the wheat price was only about 0.9 yuan per kg. Pushed by the
government, the price of major agricultural products climbed in 2004,
but declined afterwards.
As for city dwellers, the price decline is without doubt good news, as
they can buy foods at a cheaper price. However, for farmers whose income
is much lower than that of the city dwellers, this adds fuel to their
frustration.
“China’s accession to the WTO, directly or indirectly, has lead to the
price decline of agricultural products, which takes a toll on farmers’
income,” said Tang.
Tang pointed out that another disadvantage brought about by China’s
accession to the WTO is that many farmers have lost their jobs. China
has a vast population but with limited land, leading to small-scale
farming. Farmers are confined to their land. They labor on their farms
in busy seasons and do other small businesses in town in the off
seasons. Meanwhile, they do sideline businesses like breeding. After
China’s accession to the WTO, hit by imported products that are highly
subsidized by developed countries, the price of sideline products also
dropped, forcing farmers to give up the side businesses. Therefore, many
farmers have virtually nothing to do in a less demanding season.
But some other experts still believe that accession to the WTO also has
a good impact on Chinese agriculture. Lu Liangshu, an academician from
Chinese Academy of Engineering, stated that in the long run, the
accession is good for farmers, although in the short term, the negative
impact is more profound.
Lu suggested that because of accession, advanced agriculture technology
and management experience will improve the level of the Chinese
agriculture industry.
“It is an advantage brought about by WTO,” said Lu.
Ma Xiaohe, a researcher with the Academy of Macroeconomic Research under
the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that
enhancing agricultural cooperation in the agriculture field will bring
in capital and technology, thus help change the traditional agricultural
production pattern.
Ma pointed out that the majority of Chinese agricultural products are
produced in large quantities, but their quality is much lower than that
of developed countries. Therefore, they are not competitive in the
international market. After China’s entry to the WTO, the international
cooperation and the inflow of foreign agricultural products will force
domestic farmers to adopt new technology and strive to improve product
quality so as to boost competitiveness.
Think concrete jungle
The Chinese Government has done a lot to ease the negative impact on
agriculture brought about by WTO accession. For instance, the government
purchases the surplus grains from farmers at a protective price, speeds
up the countryside infrastructure construction and has abolished the
agriculture tax since this year. Although those efforts have provided
limited help on improving the competitiveness of Chinese agricultural
products, they have, after all, relieved the pressure on farmers and
guaranteed the grain output.
Above all, people are more concerned about the future development of
Chinese agriculture. “Chinese agriculture must be modernized,” said
Professor Tang Renwu.
Nearly everyone recognizes the importance of agriculture modernization,
which has in effect become a slogan in the past several decades. The
current situation is that most of the arable land is cut into small
pieces and distributed to each farm household and large-scale mechanized
farming is still something beyond Chinese farmers’ reach.
Tang believes that narrowing the urban-rural gap is a better way. The
agricultural population in most developed countries has fallen below 10
percent of the total population. The UK’s agricultural population was
2.6 percent in 2005. It was also 3.9 percent in the United States, and
6.7 percent in Canada. In addition, in those countries, farms have been
changed into enterprises and the differences between agricultural
enterprises and other companies have been virtually eliminated.
Hence, the first thing to be resolved is the agricultural population,
which makes up 70 percent of the overall Chinese population. It is
imperative to industrialize and urbanize the rural area, Tang said.
According to statistics from Ministry of Construction, the urbanization
level has increased to 41.8 percent in 2005 from 17.9 percent in 1978.
The urban population also increased to 540 million from a mere 170
million in 1978, which means that many farmers became city dwellers.
In spite of the huge progress, the Chinese agriculture population is
still enormous and the agricultural production pattern and structure
need upgrading.
China has launched a “new countryside” campaign, which is believed to be
an effective method for solving problems relating to agriculture. The
government wants to speed up the effort to transform the urban and rural
structures and bridge the gap between the two.
But it won’t be easy for Chinese agriculture to be modernized overnight,
as there are many conflicts and problems to be resolved.
“If the current slash on domestic agricultural products can really
stimulate our agricultural modernization, it is after all worthwhile,”
Li said.
(The Daily Mail-Beijing Review Articles
Exchange Item)
The missing Muslims of India
Momin Iftikhar
Six decades have passed since the Indian politicians, including titans
like Gandhi and Nehru, have been extolling secular credentials as the
bedrock of Indian democracy which provided level playing fields to all
minorities. The Quaid had challenged this enticing chimera by claiming
that Muslims in an undivided India would always be at the mercy of the
Hindu majority unless constitutional guarantees were provided to secure
the community’s political and economic interests. He set the course for
the struggle’ for Pakistan by enunciating his Two Nations Theory after
exhausting all options of reconciliation with the Hindu leadership and
trying out all options and avenues for a political settlement. How
farsighted and true was he in his analysis of the complex situation is
brought out by the statistics gleaned by the Sachar Committee, whose
leaked out details have begun to rake trouble by reflecting the grinding
misery and squalor in which the Muslims in India are finding themselves.
Sachar Committee, headed by Justice (Retired) Rajinder Sachar, owes its
existence to the electoral promise of the incumbent UPA Government and
has been mandated by the Indian Prime Minister to carry out a national
survey of the social, educational and economic status of Muslims in
India. Committee’s report is based on facts collected from eight States;
namely Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Karnataka,Kerala,
Andhara Pradesh and Delhi. The Muslim population in these St<=:1tes
comprise 56% of the around 14 million Muslim population of India. The
Report was due to be published in June this year but leaking out of some
of its findings caused such a furor that compelled the Indian Government
to stall its formal presentation on one pretext or the other. It is now
scheduled to be released. during the current month. Leaked o!Jt findings
of the Sachar Report make appalling statement concerning the pathetic
state of Muslims living in India. If education forms the basic block of
social advancement of a community then Muslim community stands out
starkly as the lowliest of the low - even behind the scheduled castes
(SC) and Scheduled tribes (ST) of India. As many as 54.6% Muslims in
rural India and 60% in urban areas have never attended any school and
are illiterate. Only 0.8% of Muslims in rural areas are graduates while
this figure is 3.1 % in urban areas. Only 1.2% Muslims are post
graduates. Officialdom in India and the political hierarchy across the
spectrum of ideological divides is likely to shrug off such harrowing
backwardness to Muslim propensity for Madrassah education and lack of
motivation and cerebral vigor. However the inadequate or rather abysmal
state of educational facilities provided by the Government in the Muslim
majority areas in various towns and cities tells a totally different
story. The Sachar Committee has Cited the case of a suburb of Jaipur
where, for about 1.2 lac Muslims, there is only one primary school with
“improper building” and insufficient number of teachers. This state of
neglect and marginalization is an apt reflection of trickle down effect
that is reaching the Muslims Community in a supposed “India Shining”.
Discrimination in the education sector, as brought out by the Sachar
Report, is only matched by the scanty share of Muslim population in
Government jobs and Public Sector Units (PSU) vis-a-vis their population
percentages (12 % at national level). As a sample of the obtaining state
of affairs it is instructive to browse through the share of Muslims, in
the jobs pie, in States having the greatest share of Muslim population.
Assam (30.9% Muslim population - highest in any Indian State), West
Bengal (25.2% - second in Muslim density) and Uttar Pradesh (18.5 - 4th
in Muslim preponderance) have only 11.2%, 4.2% and 5.1 % share of
Muslims in the State sponsored jobs. It should be instructive to note
here that the low percentages of jobs tell only partial story of Muslim
deprivation and backwardness. This is so because bulk of the jobs held
by the Muslim community belong to the lowest strata of the
organizational ladder. The highest percentage of
Muslims in “higher positions” in State PSU is in Kerala (9.50/0) - the
most forward looking and liberal of the Indian States - while the lowest
is West Bengal which has zero representation of Muslims in the higher
echelons of the management.
Sachar findings that there is no state where - representation of Muslims
matches their population share illuminates another dimension of the
Indian politics and the Muslim marginalization. A stark picture emerges
where no political party seems to concern itself with the’ decrepit
state of Muslim affairs. While the BJP led Government can’t really be
blamed for ignoring the welfare of the Muslim community due to its
communal leanings, it is the idealistic political segment viz the
Leftist Parties and the Congress - patron
saint of secular elements of political dispensation in India - that
appear to be doing the maximum damage to the Muslim interest. Or how
else one explains the .sorry state of affairs in West Bengal where Left
Front Governments have held un interrupted sway for three decades and
where second largest preponderance of Muslims (25.2%) is contrasted
against one of the lowest share (4.2%) in the Government employment?
This also holds true for UP and Bihar where for the past 15 years
Governments have been led by political leaders which claim themselves to
be the champions of the Muslim interest. The statistics however
poignantly serve to lay bare the major culprit for Muslim deprivation
that has always pretended to remain in forefront in claims to champion
their cause - the Congress Party, which has remained in power during
three fourth of the period since partition with scant regard to their
welfare and advancement on the social ladder.
If one gets overwhelmed with the depressing statistics reflecting poorly
upon the condition of Muslims in India, at least one set of figures
provide comic relief - depending upon one’s propensity to indulge in
dark humor. Against their share of 120/0 population, prisons happen to
be the only place where Muslims are over represented. While Sachar
Commission has: made public no figures regarding West Bengal, Uttar
Pradesh, Bihar and Andhara Pradesh, those indicated by remaining states
are symptomatic of the disgusting state of the prevailing affairs. In
Maharashtra, jails hold a chunk of 32.4% of inmate population who are
Muslim against a population share of 10.6%; while in Gujarat, percentage
of Muslim inmates is 26.2 against a population segment of 9.1. %.
Muslim community constitutes bottom of the heap in India and the reality
is lost upon no one. The Sachar Committee is not by any means the first
attempt by an Indian Government to gauge the depth and extent of Muslim
marginalization in India. A similar Commission; headed by Dr. Gopal
Singh was set up in India in 1980, when Indira Gandhi was in power, and
which came up with very identical findings. The fact that there has been
no action by any following Indian Government to initiate measures to
arrest the downward slide of Muslim community stands out to outline the
institutionalized apathy that marks the Muslim affairs in India.
The one who has never done it should cast first
stone
Col (R) M.
Zaman Malik
There has never been so much
global turmoil, disarray and lack of global purpose as there is today.
We are inexorably moving towards disaster and upheaval that the New
World Order of the WTO’s materialism emerging in the wake of global
village will never be able to end before its own end. The die has
definitely been cast. There is no recipe. We can not go back. Move
forward is irrevocable. I am putting it bluntly, because, rightly or
wrongly, I believe 100 % in what I say. Nemesis is on toes to overtake
us. Can the interfaith declaration “Towards a Global Ethic,” (Like that
of 1993 Parliament of the world religions in Chicago), be of some help?
One can try it hoping for the best, soon enough. But if the hearts
remain devoid of self-lessness, it can only accelerate our doom. On top
of that pre-emptive – the order of the day; do not recognize such like
mechanisms now.
Religious strife, throughout history has been the cause of unbearable
wars and conflicts – a major blight, increasingly abhorrent to the
people of all faiths. But the political parties that provided it with
increased impetus, from West to East, are responsible for their
eloquently visible practices, in using religion for their own political
and nothing but political ends. Without going to war themselves the
so-called Islamic leadership quotes the examples of the Holy Prophet’s (PBUH),
as though thereby they were absolved of going to war themselves, by the
Holy Prophet. If they quote the name of any ‘fabrication’ that absolved
them of going to war, they must be charged under relevant crime and
dealt with accordingly by the superior Courts of the Country, unless
they quote one single example where they fought a single battle along
with either ‘Mujahids’ or Pakistan Armed Forces. God knows how far do
they feel just and fair about themselves, when they cheat the people in
the name of religion and constitution whenever it suits them? Was Gen
Zia-ul-Haq, not in uniform as well as the COAS besides being their
choicest Ameer-ul-Momineen? Didn’t he commit the offence of ‘High
Treason’ as far as the constitution is concerned? At least, Gen
Musharraf was given confidence vote by the majority including the MMA!
Can you provide the needed leadership in the currently fast developing
scenario that if not handled with care can lead us to a most dreadful
end? This is probably, the only reason why the people want Gen Musharraf
stay as the Head of the state also. Otherwise, the corruption that is
prevalent does not entitle him to stay even for a short period. The
sounds of corruption are heard loud and clear, from the houses of the
teeming millions. What if you are yourself only the honest fellow/your
Prime Minister is also like you an honest man that we needed so badly;
while the most corrupt civil bureaucracy and advisors are let loose at
usurping the people’s life blood; your honesty means nothing!
Every thing comes to an abysmal end when materialism and religion join
hands! Our American allies with their Fundamentalist administration ask
only North Korea and the Muslim states on earth, not to resort to having
nuclear potential, so much needed by them for their own survival. It
does not lie in US mouth which has caused unparallel destruction in the
world constantly, since 1945. The era that emerged in the West,
particularly, after 1970s, is based on class basis and not on religious
basis. Rich are one class all over the world and poor are another in the
same way. Religion is everywhere only in name. This is superfluous and
transitory phenomenon because after this no one will think of religion
in this world having been governed by the psyche and temptation of pure
materialism.
“Whenever there is a decay of righteousness; O Bharta, and there is
exaltation of unrighteousness, then, I myself come forth, for the
protection of the good, for the sake of firmly establishing
righteousness; I am born from age to age.” Buddha believes in the Law of
‘cause and effect’. He appears when the causes and conditions are
propitious and after that is reconciled, he disappears. From Buddhism we
move to Jainism which is known by the people of the Subcontinent. Now
let us consider Judaism, Christianity and Islam, for it is these
religions which are most directly concerned one way or the other
involving them in the ongoing process of self destruction across the
globe.
The prophet Moses, after delivering God’s Laws to the people of Israel,
made this concluding charge to them, clearly predicting the dispersion
of the Jews: “Keep all the Commandments that I lay upon you this day...
if you do not obey the Lord, your God, then all maledictions shall come
to you...” You will be uprooted from the land you are entering to occupy
- The land of Palestinians who came from Canaan. The Lord will scatter
you among all peoples from one end of the earth to the other.
....Among those nations, you will find no peace, no rest for the sole of
your foot. ... these are the words of the Covenant which the Lord
Commanded Moses to make with Israelites in Moah...” (Deuteronomy 27:1;
28:1, 2, 15, 63-65; 29:1) -AS surely as the prophet Mose’s thus
prediction, he forecast the return of Jews: - Moses summoned all the
Israelites and said to them:
“When these things have befallen you in all the countries to which the
Lord your God has banished you, if you turn back to Him and obey Him
heart and soul, then the Lord your God will gather you once again from
all countries to which he scattered you first, and from there he will
fetch you home and bring you into the land your forefathers occupied,
and you will occupy it again. Then he will bring you prosperity and make
you more numerous than your forefathers were. Today, I offer you the
choice of life and good, or death and Evil...but if your heart turns
away and you do not listen, I tell you this day that you will perish...”
(Deuteronomy 29:2; 30:1-5, 17-18).
The dispersal of Jews and their subsequent return to Palestine (marks
the period before the Global Upheaval manifests the Divine retribution),
and these are both predicted accordingly in the Holy Quran: “The Moses
said... We broke them and dispersed them as separate peoples in the
earth because they were rebellious against the laws We gave them, and We
imposed upon them those who inflicted upon them grievous torment...
(7:165, 168).” We said unto the children of Israel: “When the Promise of
(the last days and) the hereafter cometh to pass, We shall bring you
back as a crowd gathered out of various nations.” (17:104). With regard
to after the Axial Shift, which is identical with (34:4) and also with
(65:8). “The Day when We shall roll up the heaven as a recorder rolled
up a written scroll; as We began the first Creation, We shall repeat it.
It is a promise binding upon us. Lo! We are to perform it.” Say, O
Muhammad: “I have warned you all alike, although I know not whether nigh
or far that which ye are promised is.” (21:104). I invite the attention
of the reader to 55:37; 18:47; 56:1-6; 67:16-18; 67:30, 69:13-18; 73:
13-14, 17; 75:7-12; 81:1-3-6-11-14-26-28; 82:1-9; 84:1-6’ 22-25; 99: 1-5
and 101:1-11.
please read, 5:110-116-117) “Jesus, son of Mary said: O children of
Israel! Lo! I am the Messenger of Allah unto you, confirming that which
was revealed before me in the Torah, and bringing good tidings of a
messenger who comes after me, whose name is, praised One. Peace on me
the day I was born, and the day I die, and the day I shall be raised
alive!” Such was Jesus, son of Mary: this is a statement of truth,
concerning which they doubt” (61: 6-19:33-34). The reader may read the
Portents of the last hour. He may read: (25:30 and 3:42, 45-46,
48-49,51and 19; 29-32). And of course he can not afford to miss: This
day I have perfected your life-transaction for you, and completed my
favour to you, and have chosen for you as life transaction. Al-ISLAM”
(5:3).
It can never be The USA, the servant of the same people whose account
has been given at length above. The world would never embrace the
ignominy that stands to repeat itself, if it also suffers from repeating
what the Jews had done. Yes, the ‘one who has never done it may try to
cast the first stone!
Can America who needs to cast the first stone itself (Disarmament); stop
others from attaining Atomic power for them? It was high time that it
did so!
Nuclear Holocaust: Quran describes as a lethal cloud which comprises a
deadly radiant smoke: “Then watch for the day when sky will bring forth
a manifest smoke,
That will cast a shadow upon people. This will be a painful suffering.
(44:10-11).
The nature of this cloud is further qualified by the following verses:
‘Now move towards what you have been denying,
‘Now on towards a three – pronged shadow,
‘Neither affording shade, nor protecting from the blaze;
It throws up flames like huge castles,
As though the castles were dusky yellow camels. (77: 29 -33)
The Jews, it seems, have been the main problem and the main concern of
God Almighty. And now what we see day in and day out, daily, the
Holocaust seems inescapable and hence.....?
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