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Backlash of death penalty
for Saddam
AS EXPECTED, former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, who had been facing
trial on charges of crimes against humanity, has been sentenced to death
byt he court set up byt he occupation forces in his own country. US and
Britain have hailed the guilty verdict amidst rejoicing among a section
of the Shia community in the war-revaged country. There has been
widespread resentment amongst the Sunni population though every one
realizes that Saddam during his ruthless rule ordered mass murders of
those elements he suspected of plotting against his regime.
His trial has been tainted from Day One. The court was presided over by
persons who hated him. Obviously, no one could expect an impartial and
fair trial. However, it would have been a lot better if the Americans
had handed him over to the International Crimes Tribunal which tried
former Yugoslav leader Milocevic charged with genocide of Bosnian
Muslims. US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad has termed the verdict as
“milestone” in Iraq’ history. No doubt. This will prove to be a turning
point for the Iraqi nation already bleeding and burning with increasing
ferocity in the sectarian conflict. The sectarian divide would further
widen. More bloodshed is feared. Ousted Iraqi leader’s hanging will not
help the ongoing civil war which will surely be exacerbated. the Bush
Administration is not going to benefit in the midterm elections tot he
Congress. US President George W. Bush’s credibility will further suffer.
Saddam showed defiance when the court announced death verdict. His
supporters and the elements resisting the occupation of Iraq by US
troops will be further emboldened. Saddam Hussein’s execution will make
him a martyr. US tropps much now brace for a strong backlash. Iraq’s
unity is now at stake. The country is likely to disintegrate giving rise
to endless fighting among various religious and ethnic groups. George W.
Bush’s dream of planting democracy in the war-torn country had already
been shattered. He was trying to find an escape route for his embattled
troops. His commanders already frustrated witht he developments shall
have tpo rush with the exit plans.
The execution of former President Saddam Hussein will cast its shadows
on the war on terror. The beleaguered George W. Bush has dragged the
world to the brink of a nuclear holocaust. Overwhelming majority of
mankind across the globe has begun to dream the consequences of his
current policies. The world is surely more unsafe since the terrorist
attacks on Nine Eleven. No one has any sympathy for Saddam Hussein but
the way he is being sent to gallows will arouse sympathies for the
ruthless dictator. American version of the Iraq war is not acceptable.
Even the public in the US is convinced that their President lied to the
world.
Clarity on climate change
Another report has highlighted evidence of the serious, long-term
consequences of global warming. Yet governments continue to pay only lip
service to the threat. As the new study makes clear, the cost of
environmental destruction will be severe — but there is still time to
avoid the worst impacts, if the world takes immediate and cooperative
action. The latest warning is from former World Bank chief economist
Nicholas Stern, who was tasked by Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer
with providing an independent assessment of the economics of climate
change. His conclusions are striking and simple. First, “the scientific
evidence points to increasing risks of serious, irreversible impacts
from climate change associated with business-as-usual paths for
emissions.”
The current level of greenhouse gases is nearly twice the level that
existed before the Industrial Revolution, and the annual emissions rate
is accelerating. As a result, there is at least a 77 percent chance —
“and perhaps up to a 99 percent chance” — of a global average
temperature rise exceeding 2 C. There is at least a 50 percent risk that
temperature change will exceed 5 C. Second, the impact of these changes
— even at the lower end of the scale — will be severe. The report notes
one-sixth of the world’s population will experience water shortages;
tens, perhaps hundreds, of millions of others will be threatened by
rising sea levels. As much as 15 to 40 percent of species will be
threatened with extinction. Humanity will not be threatened as a whole,
but entire regions will be hard hit. Africa could lose one-third of its
crop yield and there could be a 25 to 60 percent rise in hunger
worldwide. At the high end of the spectrum, even developed countries
will lose fertile lands. The Stern report estimates that the economic
damage wrought by climate change could equal that caused by the Great
Depression or a world war — 5 to 20 percent of global gross domestic
product.
The third conclusion is the most alarming: There is a window of
opportunity to halt this disaster, but action must be taken quickly. The
effect of climate change is cumulative: As Mr. Stern succinctly
explains, “the sting is in the tail.” What is most disturbing about this
conclusion is Mr. Stern’s estimate that the cost of stabilizing
greenhouse gas emissions is not that high: He reckons it will be about 1
percent of GDP by 2050. But that is only if we act fast. Waiting a
decade or two would make it impossible to stabilize emissions at a lower
level and significantly increase the costs of mitigating the negative
effects of climate change.
Contrary to popular wisdom, moving to a greener economy need not be drag
on economic growth. In fact, the cost of mitigation is likely to be
considerably less than the amount that would be spent on the
consequences of climate change. The Stern report notes that the market
for low-carbon energy products could be worth $ 500 billion a year by
2050. And governments already spend about $ 250 billion annually on
energy subsidies that can be rejiggered to promote greener alternatives
— or eliminated altogether.
The Stern report is much more than that. It is a measured assessment of
the risks of climate change and the rewards that will follow from
concerted action. It provides a rallying point for action that is the
only way to offset impending climate change. And, quite simply, it uses
self-interest as motivation. The choices are becoming clearer. Future
generations will know whom to blame if we do not take action now.
—Japan Times
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