Premier East Vision Policy
S. Rahman
Pragmatically speaking, Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz’s recently concluded
tour of East Asian countries is replete with prospects. And these
prospects should not be seen in the billion-dollar perspective or in the
East Vision Policy alone because the tour has many dimensions attached
to it. It has also provided a golden opportunity to Pakistan to make
some leading economies and successful polities of Asia understand
Pakistan in its true essence as being a country of cultured, educated
and affable people whose partnership in all prominent areas including
commerce and industry, will prove to be a worthwhile proposition.
Certainly, it is like laying the foundations of a prosperous Pakistan
with a methodology based on greater economic interaction and on sharing
our experiences. This is by all standards the most acceptable and most
appealing technique of diplomatic and economic expansion in the
contemporary world. It stands many a chance of increasing Pakistan’s
immense potential. Even our dormant potential, especially the human
resource, is going to grow tremendously after the raising of a structure
capable of absorbing newer ideas and innovations in a world whose
evolution has not yet stopped. This is rather conforming to Islam, the
religion of all times as well as to the modern world’s expectations.
Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz has spoken his mind on all vital issues
besides initiating steps for Pakistan’s economic uplift with external
collaboration. He has also touched the issue that has been unfortunately
and unjustifiably made controversial under different banners the most
conspicuous one being labeled “Clash of Civilizations”. It is a farce,
says Aziz, created gratuitously to deepen the grudge among different
fraternities. Aziz has also talked about other burning issues
confronting the Islamic Ummah but the focus of his exchanges and
addresses has throughout been action. At one point, the PM advised his
brethren-in-faith to avoid Nato, an acronym used by him to describe “No
action, talk only.” His stress is on action instead of mere talk. Even
the 10-point roadmap that Aziz has given for the salvation and rise of
Muslim Ummah during his address to the World Islamic Forum the other day
at Malaysia, is based on ground realities as well as good, workable
ideas whose implementation is not at all impossible. It, however,
requires proper identification of those irritants and ills that can be
successfully tackled with slight application of intelligence and above
all, with a common, unified approach. Take for instance, the salient
points of the roadmap. One of
stresses on promoting greater unity within the Muslim Ummah and here the
Prime Minister is loud and clear in drawing a distinction from the
hackneyed rhetoric of cohesion within the Ummah. According to Aziz, this
unity has to be achieved in practical terms through resolution of
dissensions within our societies because it helps in evolution of a
common purpose. Another point is ensuring good governance through
people’s participation, transparency and accountability, freedom and
equality in addition to empowerment of women and minorities for
achieving the goal of an enlightened and progressive society.
Fortunately, Pakistan is not lagging behind other countries in this
area. Pakistani leadership has rather been vigorously focusing on the
concept of good governance that forms a vital part of President Pervez
Musharraf’s reforms. Islamabad administration, during the last six
years, has taken to a course that is seemingly headed in the direction
of good governance. It is in that backdrop that Prime Minister Aziz has
advised other Islamic states to implement reforms to restructure our
economies to leverage the full potential of our productive capacities.
This is quite significant especially the question of implementation of
reforms. Aziz is going beyond mere introduction of reforms. The reforms
ought to be implemented for raising the living standards of our people,
that’s the moral. The focal point of Aziz’s roadmap, apart from his
emphasis on quality and high learning in scientific fields and creation
of Ummah’s collective assets through pooling of natural and human
resources, is moving forward towards an eventual Islamic Economic Union
to ensure a win-win situation for all. There is no denying the fact that
the Islamic states direly need such a platform even if a large number of
leaders of these countries are not enthusiastic about establishing such
an entity in view of their peculiar modalities of rule and the
concomitant mindset. Aziz appears to be aware of this common inadequacy.
That is why he has emphasized the need for having an economic union, the
attainment of which goal requires a practical, well-planned start. On
one hand, Aziz has built up a logical case by drawing a map of plus and
minus points with reference to the actual state of affairs confronting
the Ummah. This is indeed a step in the direction of breaking the
inertia prevailing in most of the capitals of the Islamic world whatever
the background of that inertia. On the other hand, Aziz has suggested
‘first steps’ instead of taking a blind and abstract leap. For sure, the
practicability of any strategy is itself a big source of motivation and
smashing of rampant lethargy that we urgently need in the instant case
to develop immeasurable potentialities of Ummah.
Some good ‘first steps’ are “entering into multilateral free trade
arrangements among Muslim countries, promoting the free flow of labour
and material resources and subsequently creating a world-class capital
market to attract international capital.” The Prime Minister has also
suggested enhancing the capacity of Islamic Development Bank from mere
development to promotion of investment and trade and re-invigoration of
OIC. The problem with both these setups has been that of the organizers’
failure to identify the shortcomings. However, in the case of
Organization of Islamic Conference, the shortcomings are known but the
peculiar mindsets of some prominent players have been forming
impediments in effective performance by OIC, the result being that even
the meanest of genuine expectations could not be met. Aziz has rightly
demanded re-organization, re-invigoration and re-positioning of OIC for
the ultimate empowerment of the Ummah to meet the challenges of the new
millennium. Here too, we need to move on a guided, instead of a blind,
track. The last point of the roadmap provides the key. And that is
Aziz’s advice to create the necessary intellectual environment for the
renaissance of the Muslim world through achieving intellectual revival,
academic excellence and the spirit of enquiry. If adjudged merely on the
yardstick of economy, even then Aziz’s tour carries much promise. Aziz
is not wrong in saying that the main objective of his visit to South
Korea was to place Pakistan on the radar screen of Korean investors
since Pakistan offered tremendous opportunities for investment. This is
by now a fully established fact that Pakistan has gained the increased
confidence and trust of various foreign entities in terms of greater
investment. And although some countries and their entrepreneurs have at
times shown their reservations on the old pretext of “unstable and
uncertain atmosphere”, Islamabad leadership has left no stone unturned
in providing a facilitating atmosphere for foreign investment in
addition to endeavouring in dead earnest to put an end to innumerable
apprehensions nurturing in the minds of other nations about Pakistan.
Pakistan’s performance over the last few years gives us encouraging
figures in this area. Pakistan, according to latest reports, has topped
16 Asian states last year in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) figures
with 1 billion $. Not only the former Malaysian Prime Minister, Dr
Mahathir Muhammad but also the Korean President, Roh Moo-hyun, have
lauded Pakistan’s tremendous economic growth especially that of the last
year. Korean president has also described Aziz as ‘Mr Clean’ and ‘Mr
Reforms’. Trade between Pakistan and Korea is also likely to reach $1b
by end-2005. Besides that, Korean companies and investors have shown
great interest in investing in various mega projects in Pakistan
including investment in infrastructure and oil and gas sectors in
Pakistan.
Iranian nuclear pursuits
Shahid Saleem Afzal
The United
States demonstrated the destructive power of nuclear weapons during the
Second World War. After the war, on 15 November 1945, the United States,
the United Kingdom, and Canada proposed the establishment of a U.N.
Atomic Energy Commission for the purpose of “entirely eliminating the
use of atomic energy for destructive purposes”, and to place all nuclear
resources under international ownership and control. But efforts on
disarmament failed. The Soviet Union in 1949, the United Kingdom in
1952, France in 1960, and the Peoples Republic of China in 1964, became
nuclear-weapon states. Subsequently, Israel followed and became a
nuclear power in the 1970s. India and Pakistan achieved the capability
later. North Korea is also believed to be nuclear capable by some
circles. How did these countries become nuclear? One thing is certain
that nuclear proliferation took place and it takes cooperation between
at least two parties to proliferate.
Proliferation has become a serious issue these days and the West is
particularly concerned that Iran should not enrich uranium the same can
also be used to produce nuclear weapons. Hence, Iranian nuclear
programme is under the hammer these days. The international media has
trumpeted much about the Khan affair but it is well known that about
twenty countries have assisted Iran in her nuclear programme. The Centre
for Non-Proliferation Studies has issued a detailed list of nuclear
related items exported by countries to Iran. Unfortunately, United
States has taken the lead in providing these materials. She supplied a 5
MWt Research Reactor and 5.545 Kg enriched uranium in 1967, Tektronix
oscilloscopes, logic analysers, pulse generators, centrifuge parts, and
a range of other dual use equipment in 1993.
The Argentine Nuclear Energy Commission (CNEA) supplied 115.8 kg of 20
percent enriched uranium in 1993 for the University of Tehran Nuclear
Research Centre as fuel. Belgium provided a 30MeV Ion Beam Applications
Cyclotron in 1991. China supplied two sub critical reactors; an open
tank facility and a graphite moderated reactor in 1992. In 1994 she sold
a 27kWt miniature neutron source reactor (MNSR), 900g of highly enriched
uranium (HEU) fuel, and heavy water. Subsequently, she built a heavy
water, zero power, research reactor in 1995. The Beijing Research
Institute of Uranium Geology (BRIUG) assisted Iran with uranium
exploration.
Iran imported computer-numerical-control (CNC) lathes and vertical
turning machines from the Czechoslovak firm Strojimport. Leybold of
Germany sold Iran vacuum pumps in 1990–91 and Magnetfabrik Bonn supplied
Iran with ferretic ring magnets for centrifuges in 1993. As part of the
Russian-Iranian nuclear accord, Moscow agreed to complete the Bushehr
VVER-1,000MW reactor, deliver 2000 tons of natural uranium and construct
a uranium mine. According to European officials, South Africa supplied
Iran with a large quantity of uranium concentrate (yellowcake) in
1988-89. AGIE and Charmilles Technologies of Switzerland sent electrical
discharge machinery (EDM’s) to Iran for use in manufacturing Gas
centrifuges.
In 1991, UK firms i.e. Air Products, British Nuclear Fuels, Fisons, and
Leeds & Northtrup allegedly sold Iran fluorine gas, a precursor for
making UF6 gas which is critical in the production of weapon grade
uranium. UK also exported high-speed cameras and flash x-ray equipment
to Iran. This equipment is useful in the production of nuclear weapons.
Denmark supplied 10 Kg of Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) in the mid
1970s. Argentina provided about 3 tons of uranium dioxide in 1986 and
hot cells cyclotron and technical expertise to install the cyclotron in
1997. A Japanese company “Sunbeam” sold 3100 sighting lenses in 1995.
Kazakhstan sold Beryllium in 1993 and Georgia provided nuclear reactor
equipment worth $ 36,000.
Besides importing a variety of equipment and materials to support its
nuclear programme, Iran has invested heavily over the years in training
of engineers and scientists. From the late 1950s to 1979, many young
Iranians went abroad, particularly to the United States and Europe, to
earn scientific and engineering degrees and to gain work experience in
nuclear technologies. By 1975 Iran had advisers from the United States,
Britain, and India, and had sent some 350 students to West Germany, the
United States, France, Britain and India for nuclear training. After
qualifying and gaining experience these students returned to Iran and
stimulated the development of indigenous training and research
facilities in various fields related to nuclear technology.
In the mid-1980s, Iran revamped its nuclear programme giving it a new
life and adopted a new strategy by securing assistance from Russia,
China and India. At this stage, Iran sent 15,000-17,000 students abroad
for nuclear-related training. Also, at this time, Sharif University of
Technology was established for the indigenous education of physical
scientists and engineers. Much of its curriculum is applicable to
nuclear power or weapons programmes. In the late 1980s Iran was able to
attract thousands of expatriate scientists. These scientists tried to
enrich uranium but with no success. Iran continued to lay emphasis on
higher education and the number of state universities grew from 22 in
1978 to 98 in 2000. Iran has made tremendous progress in improving her
indigenous capabilities, but continues to train scientists abroad in
Armenia, Azerbaijan, Germany, Russia and India.
Iran has long since achieved the capability to enrich uranium, much to
the displeasure of the US and the big EU Three (UK, France, Germany).
Iran suspended uranium enrichment in November 2004 as part of an
agreement with Europe to avoid UN sanctions. The suspension included the
building of centrifuges used in enrichment and the reprocessing of
uranium into the gas spun in the machines. Subsequent to the recent
Presidential elections, the new Iranian President Ahmedinejad after
taking over vowed to recommence the nuclear programme. Iran removed the
seals of the UN inspectors from the uranium conversion plant on 10
August 2005, though it has not restarted enrichment as yet. Iran says
its program is peaceful, intended only to produce electricity. Iran has
said that it would rather endure sanctions than backing down from the
programme. Iran is a signatory to the NPT. Iran’s position is best
understood by going through Article I and II of the NPT.
Article I requires the five nuclear weapon states not to transfer
possession or control of nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive
devices to any recipient and not to assist, encourage, or induce any
non-nuclear weapon state to acquire nuclear weapons.. Under Article II,
non-nuclear weapon state parties undertake not to manufacture or
otherwise acquire nuclear weapons or seek or receive any assistance in
the manufacture of nuclear weapons. Article I has already been violated
as the US has placed a large number of nuclear weapons in Europe.
Besides, nuclear powers including the US, UK, and France assisted Israel
in producing nuclear weapons. Yet this proliferation is hardly discussed
but the name of A Q Khan is splattered in the international media.
Article II is applicable to Iran which does not prohibit non nuclear
weapon states from producing enriched uranium for peaceful purposes.
Hence Iran’s pursuits are within the ambit of the NPT and there appears
to be nothing wrong if Iran enriches uranium as it does not violate any
agreement.
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