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‘Game theorists’ get Nobel Economics prize
Foreign Desk Report
STOCKHOLM (Sweden)—Israeli-American Robert J. Aumann and American Thomas
C. Schelling won the 2005 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences on
Monday for their work on game theories that help explain political and
economic conflicts from arms races to price wars. “Why do some groups of
individuals, organizations and countries succeed in promoting
cooperation while others suffer from conflict?” the Royal Swedish
Academy of Sciences said. Schelling, 75, is a professor at the
University of Maryland’s department of economics and a professor
emeritus at Harvard. Aumann, 84, is a professor at the Center for
Rationality at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. It was the sixth
straight year that Americans have won the prize, or had a share in it.
Aumann (OW-man) and Schelling were cited for using game-theory analysis
to “explain economic conflicts such as price wars and trade wars, as
well as why some communities are more successful than others in managing
common-pool resources”.
“The repeated-games approach clarifies the raison d’etre of many
institutions, ranging from merchant guilds and organized crime to wage
negotiations and international trade agreements,” the citations said. “I
feel great,” Aumann, reached by telephone in Israel, told newsmen. He
told the prize committee, “This was a total surprise. I’m totally
overwhelmed”. Reached by the reporters at his home in Bethesda, Md.,
Schelling said he knew his co-winner, but had never worked with him.
“They (the Nobel committee) linked us together because he is a producer
of game theory and I am a user of game theory,” he said. “I use game
theory to help myself understand conflict situations and opportunities”.
The academy, in its citation, lauded Schelling for showing “that a party
can strengthen its position by overtly worsening its own options, that
the capability to retaliate can be more useful than the ability to
resist an attack, and that uncertain retaliation is more credible and
more efficient than certain retaliation”. Those insights, the academy
said, “have proven to be of great relevance for conflict resolution and
efforts to avoid war.” Aumann was cited for his work in looking at how
real-world situations can affect the theory. “In many real-world
situations, cooperation may be easier to sustain in a long-term
relationship than in a single encounter. Analyses of short-run games
are, thus, often too restrictive,” the academy said. “Robert Aumann was
the first to conduct a full-fledged formal analysis of so-called
infinitely repeated games. His research identified exactly what outcomes
can be upheld over time in long-run relations”. |