The loser in Iran vote
Praful Bidwai
AFTER the invasion of Iraq,
nothing has as sharply fractured the international community as the
crisis over Iran’s nuclear activities, and the United States’
high-powered effort to corner Teheran. Convinced that “Axis-of-Evil”
state Iran is bent on acquiring nuclear weapons after having become the
Middle East’s “greatest exporter of terrorism” (according to Condi
Rice), Washington precipitated a confrontation with it at the
International Atomic Energy Agency’s board of governors with help from
the European Union-3 (Germany, France and Britain).
This confrontation presented an extraordinarily tough challenge to
India-indeed, a litmus test for its foreign policy independence. How
would India defend Iran’s right to peaceful nuclear activities while
voicing concerns about “proliferation” in the “neighbourhood” at
Washington’s goading? How would it balance its energy security and
regional interests, which lie in friendship with Iran, against
“strategic partnership” with Washington? Could India maintain its
leadership of the Non-Aligned Movement while ducking the Iran issue?
In the event, India comprehensively failed the test. It sacrificed its
policy independence. It even subordinated its vital interests to its
unequal partnership with Washington. India’s vote was primarily driven
by its keenness to join the global cabal called the Nuclear Club on
American terms under the July 18 nuclear deal. In the process, India
split NAM, the bulk of whose weighty members abstained from the vote,
including Brazil, South Africa, Malaysia, Algeria and Nigeria. Even tiny
Sri Lanka and our neighbour Pakistan abstained. India dealt a major blow
to its own standing in the world, particularly among the peoples of the
Global South, where it belongs.
The Vienna vote showed India at sixes and sevens. It endorsed a motion
indicting Iran for “non-compliance” with Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty safeguards. But its Foreign Ministry says that “finding Iran
non-compliant is not justified”; the IAEA Director-General’s reports
concede that “good progress has been made in Iran’s correction of
[alleged safeguards] breaches”. So India should have opposed the
resolution, which lays the ground for reporting Iran to the Security
Council because its activities raise “peace and security” issues, which
are within the Council’s “competence”.
The Indian decision to vote with the US “in a crunch situation” was
taken even before Manmohan Singh’s visit to the US. (The Hindu, Sept 17)
This was done after the US sent a lobbying delegation to New Delhi, led
by under-secretary for disarmament Robert Joseph. India then acted out a
mere charade. It colluded with the US-EU-3 in gratuitously altering IAEA
decision-making procedures, from consensus to a majority vote, which
would facilitate an anti-Iran resolution.
India’s post facto rationalisation was that the resolution would
facilitate diplomacy to resolve the Iran crisis. In fact, the crisis got
aggravated: Iran feels offended and terms the resolution “illegal”. And
the US is triumphalist. Iran feels badly let down by India not only
because the two have had excellent political and economic
relations-including in balancing Pakistan’s influence in Afghanistan-,
but because Teheran regards India, with Russia and China, as “big states
in the eastern hemisphere”, which “can play a balancing role in today’s
world”. (President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at the UN General Assembly)
India claims that it kept Iran fully informed, indeed pleaded its case
globally and “helped” it: Iran hotly denies this. It says Manmohan Singh
didn’t give Ahmedinejad an inkling of India’s voting intentions when he
called him two days earlier. Numerous India-Iran oil-and-gas-related
deals/proposals could be jeopardised, affecting India’s energy security.
This is especially so with the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline, now under
advanced negotiation. This holds the key to economic integration of the
entire South Asia-West and Central Asia region.
At the root of India’s shameful stand are misperceptions about Iran’s
nuclear activities and a craving to get India “normalised” as a nuclear
weapons-state. It was revealed in 2002 that Iran had years earlier
acquired a small number of uranium centrifuges. Other countries,
including Israel, Pakistan, Taiwan, the two Koreas and India too, have
indulged in clandestine nuclear acquisitions. Most got away. Iran was
targeted because of deep-rooted US prejudices and an eye on the Gulf
oil. Iran adopted a highly cooperative attitude towards IAEA
inspections. These haven’t revealed evidence of a military programme.
Traces of enriched uranium were detected on some equipment. But these
were sourced to imports from A Q Khan’s network.
IAEA reports, including the latest (September 2), don’t conclude that
Iran has violated its NPT obligations. According to the International
Institute of Strategic Studies, London, Iran is five to 10 years away
from a weapons capability. Iran’s nuclear effort is crude. It has a
pilot plant at Natanz, with just 164 centrifuges, in place of the
thousands needed to make one bomb a year. Isfahan has a facility to
convert uranium oxide to hexafluoride gas. But the gas is “too
contaminated with… molybdenum and other elements to be used as feed
material”. The EU-3’s mediatory effort wasn’t honest. It was wound up
after Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won as president against the ‘moderate’
Rafsanjani. The EU reneged on its original incentives package and
demanded Iran abandon enrichment forever. Iran refused to renounce its
sovereign right and resumed conversion.
The US-EU-3 then decided to confront Iran at the IAEA. For credibility,
they needed a Third World heavyweight-collaborator. India played their
game. The Vienna resolution imposes harsh demands upon Iran — even
tougher than the IAEA’s intrusive Additional Protocol. It demands
greater inspection powers, including “access to individuals… and R&D
locations”. Iran is being pressed to convert its 2004 legally
non-binding offer to suspend enrichment into an obligation. Iran is
being given third-degree treatment, like Iraq in the 1990s. Such abuse
of power sets a terrible precedent which could be invoked against
another country the US doesn’t like.
India’s cooperation with Iran isn’t only economically, but also
politically, significant. In the 1990s, Iran repeatedly came to India’s
rescue at the UN human rights commission over Kashmir. The two have high
stakes in working together. The real question is: Does India’s future
lie in South Asia, linked to West and Central Asia, and Southeast-East
Asia? Or does it lie with Washington? New Delhi shouldn’t fudge the
answer.
East & West and twin towers of New World Order
Tom Plate
AN
ADMITTEDLY general but perhaps not insignificant consensus in America on
the necessary future direction of US foreign policy finally appears to
be emerging — and not a moment too soon. Sure, the idea is not exactly
the intellectual equivalent of Einstein’s Theory of Relativity. And,
sure, it has been in formulation for a decade and a half, going back to
the fall of the Berlin Wall. But whoever said America was that quick?
Whatever, if the direction proves as sensible as it would appear to be
right now, it was well worth waiting for. The new foreign-policy
consensus might be called Global Getting-Along. Catchy? Perhaps not. But
the new consensus idea is quite different from the prior conceptual
framework, known as communist containment, which ruled the US
foreign-policy roost until 1989, or more recently from unilateralism,
which more or less ruled Washington under the first George Bush
administration of 2001-2004, though not of course the quieter, gentler
administration of his father (1989-93).
The new Global Getting-Along (GGA) aims at avoiding major military
conflict with anyone hefty enough to actually hurt the US (perhaps,
China? India? Russia? Japan?), and it emphasises international economic
integration, global rule making and a mature balancing of domestic
versus international priorities. The rough consensus idea was nicely
articulated last week by Richard N. Haass, the president of the Council
on Foreign Relations. This is the (sometimes but not always smug) New
York-based intellectual temple of foreign-policy wisdom perhaps best
known for its authoritative journal Foreign Affairs. Haass, a former top
adviser to Secretary of State Colin Powell and Special Assistant to the
first President Bush, laid out his thoughts at a World Affairs Council
luncheon while promoting his latest book, The Opportunity, which, to be
honest, is so luminously solid, sensible and un-smug it almost seems,
well, un-American.
The new consensus direction, Haass suggested, would have America steer
clear of all unpleasant and risky foreign-policy directions. That would
include clashing with any civilization, or preclude playing chicken with
China. “There’s no need for competition with China,” Haass said.
“There’s every reason for cooperation,” adding: “We can’t do it by
ourselves. Unilateralism is not an option.” He emphasised that the most
significant and difficult world problems are shared headaches that will
require multilateral solutions. “If you don’t have almost total global
involvement on a major issue, you have a hole in the net, and no
solution.” Isolation, no more than unilateralism, makes no sense. But if
America is to avoid the fate of other empires, it must not squander
resources. Hurricane Katrina, as Haass notes, lifted the roof over more
than homes and apartment buildings; it has “resurfaced the age-old
American dilemma of how much we do abroad versus how much we do here at
home.” Referring to the current daunting US budget deficit, he invoked
the mild wit of the late Herbert Stein, top economic adviser in the
Nixon administration: “That which can not go on forever, won’t.”
The mildness, sense of proportion and near-humility of the Haass
presentation was a breath of fresh air. And its focus on relating
maturely to emerging China (given the enormous stakes involved) went
over extremely well with his Asia-conscious West Coast audience.
Interestingly enough, that sensible approach was mirrored last week by a
notable speech from the Chinese side: “The development of our
relationship is in the fundamental interests of our two countries as
well as our peoples. It has and will continue to have the wide-ranging
support from our governments and peoples. It is capable of removing the
disruptions and moving ahead.” The speaker was none other than China’s
ambassador to the United Nations. The setting was a luncheon hosted by
the Asia Society in New York. Like Haass, Zhou Wenzhong was modest,
sensible and forward looking. “China never seeks hegemony. China never
dreams a Soviet Union dream” China respects US interests in the
Asia-Pacific region and welcomes its active and constructive role in
Asia”. Taken together, these two speeches comprise a promising
perspective on the international relations of the future. They are
important statements, by serious persons, that could help the world
develop a sense of where it has been and where it needs to go. The new
consensus is not too good to be true. But it needs to be accepted as
true, if the world wants to realise good.
Serious reforms a must if UN is to live up to its promise
Ron Silver
As the United Nations celebrates its 60th anniversary as a symbol of
peace and a beacon of hope, we must offer a frank and critical
assessment of its failure to deliver on the promise to halt global human
rights abuses, improve economic and social development and significantly
enhance world security. In all three categories, the United Nations has
either ignored its charter mandate or has been so overwhelmed with
bureaucracy, ineptitude, corruption and inefficiency that it could not
carry out its mission. The United Nations was born from the ashes of
World War II with a primary goal of creating a charter around which all
countries could join in the collective effort to prevent the outbreak of
future wars.
It was a just and noble cause in the wake of 30 million casualties
during World War I and more than 60 million casualties in World War II.
The UN Charter says that only the nations that abide by international
law, honor each other’s borders, renounce aggression and respect human
rights can be members of the United Nations. But barely a year after
that charter was drafted, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill
issued a stern warning, voicing his concerns that the Soviet Union — a
UN member — was a growing threat to world peace. From the day of the
United Nations’ founding, dozens of its “member’’ nations have
participated in open and deliberate acts of hostile aggression and have
engaged in the most heinous human rights abuses with no regard for the
mission or the mandate of the United Nations.
Even a cursory review of the UN role in international conflicts reveals
a long list of failures to halt human rights abuses, mediate border
disputes between countries and resolve issues of arms escalation and
acts of aggression between nations. The United Nations was unable to
halt the hostility between India and Pakistan in 1947, the Arab-Israeli
conflicts of the late 1940s, the ongoing political repression of the
people of Cuba, the slaughter of millions of Cambodian refugees by the
ruthless dictator Pol Pot in the 1970s, the hardships and abuses faced
by Somali refugees in the 1990s and, most recently, the
government-sponsored genocides in Rwanda and Bosnia in which hundreds of
thousands of innocent civilians have been killed.
Recent news reports have also raised questions of fraud and corruption
within the United Nations. One example is the scandal involving the $1.5
billion project to renovate UN headquarters in New York. Real estate
mogul Donald Trump is quoted in a documentary — produced by Citizens
United Foundation and Peace River Company, LLC — that examines the
United Nations as it turns 60. He says he was completely baffled after a
meeting with UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan in which he offered to
manage the renovation project for free and finish the work at a saving
of $500 million to $1 billion. According to Trump, UN officials weren’t
interested in saving $1 billion.
As we reflect upon the record of the United Nations, it has become
apparent that sweeping policy reforms are needed along with an overhaul
of the UN bureaucracy to offer any hope of eliminating the waste,
inefficiency and corruption that have eaten the United Nations like a
cancer. It is time to seek real, substantive reform — from the United
Nations’ global policies and practices to its dysfunctional internal
structure and bureaucracy — so that the world body can eventually live
up to its name as a symbol of peace and a beacon of hope for all of
humanity.
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